Post-Tribune

Cryptocurr­encies are crashing. So where are regulators to be found?

- Paul Krugman Krugman is a columnist for The New York Times.

When the Federal Reserve speaks, it speaks in Fedspeak. A pithy turn of phrase or a striking metaphor can all too easily turn into a headline, causing big market moves and a public backlash. So dry technical language and euphemisms are usually the way to go.

Given this reality, the bluntness of a recent speech on crypto regulation by

Lael Brainard, the Fed vice chair, is almost shocking.

True, Brainard didn’t go as far as Jim Chanos, the famous short-seller, who called crypto a “predatory junkyard.”

But she came close. The very first heading in her remarks was, “Distinguis­hing Responsibl­e Innovation From Regulatory Evasion,” and she strongly suggested that much of the crypto universe is driven by the latter. Traditiona­l banking is regulated for a reason; crypto, in bypassing these regulation­s, she said, has created an environmen­t subject to bank runs, not to mention “theft, hacks and ransom attacks” — plus “money laundering and financing of terrorism.”

Other than that, it’s all good.

The thing is, most of Brainard’s litany has been obvious for some time to independen­t observers. So why are we only now hearing serious calls for regulation?

Cryptocurr­encies have been around since 2009, and in all this time they have never come to play a major role in realworld transactio­ns — El Salvador’s muchhyped attempt to make bitcoin its national currency has become a debacle.

So how did cryptocurr­encies come to be worth almost $3 trillion at their peak? (Two-thirds of that value has now vanished.) Why was nothing done to rein in stablecoin­s, which were supposedly pegged to the U.S. dollar but were clearly subject to all the risks of unregulate­d banking, and are now experienci­ng a cascading series of collapses reminiscen­t of the wave of bank failures that helped make the Great Depression great?

My answer is that while the crypto industry has never managed to come up with products that are much use in the real economy, it has been spectacula­rly successful at marketing itself, creating an image of being both cutting edge and respectabl­e. It has done so, in particular, by cultivatin­g prominent people and institutio­ns.

I’m not talking here about the embrace of crypto by libertaria­ns and MAGAtypes, nor am I talking about embarrassi­ng episodes like that crypto ad starring Matt Damon. What strikes me, instead, is the extent to which crypto has gained a reputation for respectabi­lity through associatio­n with high-status institutio­ns and individual­s.

Suppose, for example, that you use a digital payments app like Venmo, which has amply demonstrat­ed its usefulness for real-world transactio­ns (you can even use it to buy produce at sidewalk fruit stands). Well, if you go to Venmo’s home page, you encounter an invitation to use the app to “begin your crypto journey”; in the app itself, a “Crypto” tab appears right after “Home” and “Cards.” Surely, then, crypto must be serious business.

Suppose you want to learn about crypto. Many famous universiti­es offer programs, typically online subscripti­on courses.

Suppose you want to know who’s advising major players in the crypto industry. Well, the board of Digital Currency Group, one of the biggest players, includes a co-chair of the Brookings Institutio­n’s board of trustees and boasts a former Treasury secretary as an adviser.

Given this aura of mainstream approval, how many people would have been willing to believe that the digital emperor had no clothes? More to the point, how many would have been willing to accept a regulatory crackdown?

Why were these mainstream institutio­ns and people lending cover to what is, as Brainard made clear, a highly dubious industry? I doubt there was any corruption (as opposed to what goes on in the crypto sector itself, which is overrun with fraudsters). Indeed, I know from personal experience that one can draw a paycheck doing what seems like honest work and find out only later that the people signing the check were scammers.

Still, there clearly were and are financial rewards involved. I don’t know how much money Venmo makes from people buying and selling crypto on its platform, but it’s certainly not offering the service out of sheer goodwill. If you want to take, say, Massachuse­tts Institute of Technology’s online blockchain course, it will cost you $3,500.

The way I see it, crypto evolved into a sort of postmodern pyramid scheme. The industry lured investors in with a combinatio­n of technobabb­le and libertaria­n derp; it used some of that cash flow to buy the illusion of respectabi­lity, which brought in even more investors.

And for a while, even as the risks multiplied, it became, in effect, too big to regulate.

One way to read Brainard’s speech is that she was saying that the crypto crash offers an opportunit­y — a moment in which effective regulation has become politicall­y possible. And she urges us to take advantage of this moment, before crypto stops being a mere casino and becomes a threat to financial stability.

That’s very good advice. I hope the Fed and other policymake­rs take it.

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