A FLURRY OF AC­TIV­ITY

Richmond Times-Dispatch Weekend - - SUNDAY IN VIRGINIA - BY JOHN BOYER Check Rich­mond.com/weather for John Boyer’s videos and fore­cast up­dates. Con­tact him at [email protected]­patch.com.

Mo­torists driv­ing through Rich­mond’s Cary­town on Satur­day en­coun­tered mod­er­ate but brief snow. Af­ter the cur­rent front moves through the area, mostly dry weather is ex­pected this week.

Af­ter this messy, com­pli­cated win­ter storm clears out of the area, the fore­cast for the work­week is straight­for­ward: mostly dry and grad­u­ally warmer.

Then it gets tricky again next week­end.

An­other ac­tive weather pat­tern will bring pre­cip­i­ta­tion to Vir­ginia be­tween Fri­day and Sun­day, but the de­tails about tem­per­a­ture and snow po­ten­tial are nowhere close to set­tled.

Mild and rainy, or cold and snowy: take your pick.

One sys­tem at a time.

The cur­rent weath­er­maker be­gan with light snow in the Rich­mond area late Satur­day af­ter­noon.

As warmer air moves in from the south, it will cre­ate a nar­row gra­di­ent be­tween snow, sleet, freez­ing rain and rain across cen­tral Vir­ginia to­day. To­tals could vary widely, but plan for in­creas­ing snow to the north and more rain to the south.

The low re­spon­si­ble for the win­try mess will move well off­shore by Mon­day, but some lin­ger­ing mois­ture and an up­per­level dis­tur­bance will work to keep some clouds around. There might be a pass­ing flurry but no ad­di­tional snow ac­cu­mu­la­tions.

Clouds will dampen the day’s tem­per­a­ture range from the up­per 20s in the morn­ing to the mid- to up­per 30s in the af­ter­noon.

Breaks of sun could help with any melt­ing, but we’ll head below freez­ing to the up­per 20s on Mon­day night.

If the clouds clear out en­tirely, tem­per­a­tures could take a deeper dive in parts of the state with deeper snow cover. Tues­day could start out in the teens or sin­gle dig­its be­tween the Shenan­doah Val­ley and the Fred­er­icks­burg area.

That would likely be the cold­est point of the week.

Abun­dant sun­shine will help us turn the cor­ner on Tues­day, but only slightly. Highs will still strug­gle to make it to about 40 de­grees in Rich­mond.

Af­ter an­other night in the 20s or 10s, Wed­nes­day’s sun will bump the highs close to nor­mal in the mid-40s. A cold front will pass through, but it will be a dry one.

We could make it back to the 50s on Fri­day once winds come back in from the south. That will also bring in our next chance for rain.

Low pres­sure track­ing from the Ten­nessee Val­ley to the North­east could give us quite a soak­ing on Satur­day or Sun­day.

Win­try weather can’t be ruled out next week­end if the mois­ture mixes with cold air, but uncer­tainty is high at this point.

Beyond that, there’s grow­ing ev­i­dence that the weather pat­tern will fol­low up with a harsher cold spell for the eastern half of the U.S. be­tween Jan. 21 and Jan. 25.

Whether the snow and ice was a hit or a miss for your neigh­bor­hood to­day, it seems there’s still a lot of win­ter left.

JOE MA­HONEY/TIMES-DIS­PATCH

JOE MA­HONEY/TIMES-DIS­PATCH

Shan­non Too­tle (left) and Tri­cia Smith of Ch­ester­field County made their way through Cary­town on Satur­day. A win­ter storm be­gan with light snow in the Rich­mond area late Satur­day af­ter­noon.

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