A FLURRY OF ACTIVITY
Motorists driving through Richmond’s Carytown on Saturday encountered moderate but brief snow. After the current front moves through the area, mostly dry weather is expected this week.
After this messy, complicated winter storm clears out of the area, the forecast for the workweek is straightforward: mostly dry and gradually warmer.
Then it gets tricky again next weekend.
Another active weather pattern will bring precipitation to Virginia between Friday and Sunday, but the details about temperature and snow potential are nowhere close to settled.
Mild and rainy, or cold and snowy: take your pick.
One system at a time.
The current weathermaker began with light snow in the Richmond area late Saturday afternoon.
As warmer air moves in from the south, it will create a narrow gradient between snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain across central Virginia today. Totals could vary widely, but plan for increasing snow to the north and more rain to the south.
The low responsible for the wintry mess will move well offshore by Monday, but some lingering moisture and an upperlevel disturbance will work to keep some clouds around. There might be a passing flurry but no additional snow accumulations.
Clouds will dampen the day’s temperature range from the upper 20s in the morning to the mid- to upper 30s in the afternoon.
Breaks of sun could help with any melting, but we’ll head below freezing to the upper 20s on Monday night.
If the clouds clear out entirely, temperatures could take a deeper dive in parts of the state with deeper snow cover. Tuesday could start out in the teens or single digits between the Shenandoah Valley and the Fredericksburg area.
That would likely be the coldest point of the week.
Abundant sunshine will help us turn the corner on Tuesday, but only slightly. Highs will still struggle to make it to about 40 degrees in Richmond.
After another night in the 20s or 10s, Wednesday’s sun will bump the highs close to normal in the mid-40s. A cold front will pass through, but it will be a dry one.
We could make it back to the 50s on Friday once winds come back in from the south. That will also bring in our next chance for rain.
Low pressure tracking from the Tennessee Valley to the Northeast could give us quite a soaking on Saturday or Sunday.
Wintry weather can’t be ruled out next weekend if the moisture mixes with cold air, but uncertainty is high at this point.
Beyond that, there’s growing evidence that the weather pattern will follow up with a harsher cold spell for the eastern half of the U.S. between Jan. 21 and Jan. 25.
Whether the snow and ice was a hit or a miss for your neighborhood today, it seems there’s still a lot of winter left.
Shannon Tootle (left) and Tricia Smith of Chesterfield County made their way through Carytown on Saturday. A winter storm began with light snow in the Richmond area late Saturday afternoon.