Virus restrictions aren’t helping hard-hit areas
By mid-november, hospitals in Lubbock were stretched thin as cases of COVID-19 spread quickly and widely throughout the West Texas community. A large number of new cases had erupted among young people who continued to flock to bars and restaurants in the college town.
“There are several steps that can be taken now that, as an enforceable mandate, would slow the avalanche descending on our local hospitals,” area doctors, nurses and other health care workers wrote in a petition to Gov. Greg Abbott in which they pleaded for harsher restrictions.
That same day, at a news conference on Texas Tech University's campus in Lubbock, Abbott declared that “statewide, there will not be another shutdown.”
Abbott blamed local officials for failing to enforce existing restrictions, including a statewide mask mandate he put in place in July and occupancy reductions for businesses and mandated bar closures triggered when the proportion of a region's COVID-19 patients exceeds 15 percent of hospital capacity for seven days.
“Just getting more tools won't mean anything,” he said. “They need to be enforcing the protocols in place right now.”
But three months after Abbott announced the 15 percent rule, an analysis of state data shows that in regions with the worst outbreaks, including El Paso, Amarillo and
Lubbock, the restrictions have done little to ease an overburdened health care system.
A number of local leaders — almost all Democrats — say that even with rigorous enforcement, the protocols have done little to curb the spread of the coronavirus, which is continuing to surge across the state. More than10,000people in Texas were hospitalized with the virus as of Monday — the first time that's happened since July — and there were fewer than 800 available intensive care beds, a near record low.
Though the arrival of the COVID-19 vaccine in Texas last week marked a milestone in the battle against the virus, it will be months before vaccine doses are widely available.
Many local elected officials say they're handicapped by an executive order that blocks them from using more restrictive measures than those in place statewide.
“It's an unfortunate reality because the virus doesn't respond to politics,” Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins said. “It only responds to following the best medical advice from the medical experts.”
Jenkins, like other local officials, said he wants more latitude to set his ownguidelines, such as closing indoor dining and limiting in-person gatherings. Without aggressive action, he said, the virus will continue to spread.
“I'm confident that those (state) restrictions alone will not bring the virus under control,” Jenkins said.
Abbott spokesperson r en aeeze disagreed. “The proven course of action is to enforce the existing protocols,” she said in a written statement. “That strategy was effective in slowing the spread over the summer and containing COVID-19, while allowing businesses to safely operate. The protocols work, but only if they are enforced.”
Restrictions show little effect. Texas' 254 counties are divided among 22 regional bodies known as trauma service areas. Once one of them exceeds the 15 percent benchmark for seven consecutive days, according to an October executive order, area bars must close in counties where officials had al
lowed themto reopen, restaurants must scale back capacity from 75 percent to 50 percent, and hospitals must halt nonemergency surgical procedures.
Abbott had ordered businesses to close during the first wave of infections in the spring. The shutdown eased overloaded hospitals, and new cases of COVID-19 plummeted. But Abbott quickly lifted the order amid fierce blowback from Republicans who felt he had overstepped his authority. Cases spiked again in the summer, then plateaued.
Abbott announced the 15 percent threshold as part of a September order that allowed restaurants to open at 75 percent capacity, and he explained that it would be triggeredifcovid-19patientsmadeup 15 percent of “all hospitalized patients”' in a region. But in October, he changed the metric to 15 percent of “total hospital capacity” — or total beds. The change effectively moved the goalposts, requiring more COVID-19 patients to trigger the restrictions in a given area.
The October order also allowed bars, which had been closed statewide since late June, to reopen in counties where officials opted in. Counties that did so included two that would later become COVID-19 hot spots: Randall, home to part of Amarillo, and Lubbock.
Dr. Brian Weis, chief medical officer at Northwest Texas Healthcare System, toldamarillo city officials in October that many Texas hospitals have additional beds to respond to COVID-19 surges but often lack the personnel to staff them.
“By using that number, that overestimates our capacity to handle COVID-19 patients,” he said.
Tiffany Radcliff, professor and associate dean for research at the Texas A&M University School of Public Health, said that even a trauma service area that's below the governor's 15 percent threshold “could still be struggling with new admissions for COVID-19 if there are not enough available ICU beds or trained staff to care for patients who need intensive care resources.”
As of Tuesday, 10 TSAS containing more than 100 counties had crossed the 15 percent threshold, according to the Texas Department of State Health Services.
The additional restrictions have done little to free up hospital capacity in all but one of them, data shows.
For example, in Trauma Service Areat, which includes Laredo, the proportion of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 has steadily grown since it first crossed the 15 percent thresholdnov. 14. Onmonday, the region reported 14 available intensive care beds, and more than a third of available hospital beds were occupied by COVID-19 patients. That number has exceeded 24 percent for over a month.
The COVID-19 situation improvedin at least oneregionwhere the enhanced restrictions took effect: the one that contains the neighboring cities of Odessa and Midland. After crossing the threshold Nov. 17, the area remained above the 15 percent threshold for a couple of weeks but has since consistently remained below the
benchmark — meaning businesses can again scale up capacity.
The trauma service area that includes the Dallas-fort Worth area is the most populous in the state currently subject to the enhanced restrictions. Since the region crossed the 15 percent threshold Nov. 25, cases of COVID-19 have continued to grow, stoking fear among health officials that North Texas' medical infrastructure will be pushed to its limits headed into another potentially catastrophic holiday season.
The Dallas County health department reported 33 available intensive care beds Sunday for the county's 2.6 million residents. And Tarrant County on Sunday reported a record 1,078 people in area hospitals with COVID-19.
Dallas County didnot allowbars to reopen in October, while neighboring Tarrant County did.
Jenkins, the Dallas County judge, said the enforcement of Abbott's order is a balancing act betweencounty andcityofficials and the Texas Alcoholic Beverage Commission, which regulates the state's bars. In practice, county health officials often work in tandemwith local governments to educate businesses about occupancy and mask regulations, while city code compliance officers regulate businesses within each of the county's myriad cities.
City of Dallas officers have found nearly 23,000 infractions since early April and have issued more than 6,100 notices of violation. A city spokesperson said businesses with reported violations have been very cooperative. In all, inspectors have issued just 37 citations.
Jenkins said most Dallas County businesses are adhering to Abbott's restrictions. Those that “are not acting in good faith,” he said, are mostly bars and nightclubs.
A state loophole allowed these businesses to reopen under the promise that they convert themselves into restaurants. But many county officials, including Jenkins, said bars are openly flouting guidelines and that the TABC is not enforcing the rules.
Chris Porter, a TABC spokesperson, said agents have conducted more than 26,000 inspections statewide since June 26 and found about 700instances of noncompliance. About 200 of those led to a 30-day liquor license suspension,
he said.
“TABC has been conducting inspections across the state, and our agents are monitoring compliance to ensure bars and restaurants are following the governor's COVID-19 executive orders,” Porter said in a statement. “What we've found is that the majority of businesses, more than 97 percent, are committed to operating safely and have taken thorough steps to ensure the health of their customers and employees.”
TABC dispatched about 20additional agents to both the El Paso and Lubbock regions, Porter said, to assist local officials with enforcement.
But even the added personnel isn't enough to monitor county bars that are operating under the state loophole or are not complying with mandated closures, said El Paso County Judge Ricardo Samaniego, whodid not allowbars to reopen in October. The region has remained above the 15 percent threshold since Oct. 12, and the additional restrictions have done little to ease the burden on a health care system that has been pushed to the brink for months.
In late October, citing a need for more aggressive action, Samaniego ordered all nonessential businesses to close for 14 days. Local business owners and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sued, arguing that Samaniego was acting outside his authority.
By the time a state appeals court struck down the shutdown order Nov. 13, it had been in effect for 14 days. New cases and hospitalizations have since fallen from their Novemberpeaks, though 490people were hospitalized and the county reportedmore than 35,700 active infections Tuesday.
This month, Eze, Abbott's spokesperson, pointed to El Paso as evidence that the governor's restrictions are effective at curbing the spread of the virus. But Samaniego credits the progress to his stay-at-home order.
“I think we proved that we did help the spread because, whether I was allowed to, I actually did the 14 days,” he said.