San Diego Union-Tribune (Sunday)

‘GARGANTUAN’ HAIL STRIKES DESERT NATION

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In a place that barely sees 10 inches of rain per year, Libya, a largely desert country in North Africa, isn’t exactly a hotspot for severe weather. But atmospheri­c scientists are investigat­ing an episode of “gargantuan” hail that pummeled Libya’s capital city last month, with individual hailstones nearly 7 inches in diameter.

The city of Tripoli, home to roughly 3 million people, averages less than 11 inches of rainfall per year. Most of Libya is part of the Sahara Desert. The atmosphere didn’t seem to care the evening of Oct. 27 though, when a rotating supercell thundersto­rm formed over the southern Mediterran­ean Sea, battering Tripoli with hail the size of bowling balls as well as strong winds and torrential downpours.

Some researcher­s believe the enormous chunks of ice may establish a record for Africa, and be among the largest hailstones ever photograph­ed worldwide.

Libya typically sees primarily dry summers, but rainfall begins to increase late in September and through October as the changing seasons precede a slightly wetter winter. Still, it is exceptiona­lly rare for high-end severe thundersto­rms to develop, particular­ly those rivaling some of the fiercest storms of Tornado Alley in the United States.

The recent storm formed ahead of a shortwave trough, or dip in the jet stream accompanyi­ng a strip of high-altitude cold air. The presence of chilly air aloft allowed surface air to rise, while jet stream winds provided the necessary dynamics to sculpt thundersto­rms into rotating cells.

Weather model simulation­s from Oct. 27 revealed impressive instabilit­y, or the tendency for air to rise. That produced buoyant updraft plumes of rising air that could carry hailstones high in the sky. At those heights, temperatur­es were well below freezing, allowing layers of ice to continuall­y accrete.

Because the storm was rotating, the powerful updraft suspending hailstones was able to persist for an extended period of time without being choked out by downward-crashing surges of cold air.

Winds from the east at the surface and south at the low levels also helped to provide an uninterrup­ted supply of warm, humid air to fuel the potent storm. It helped that the storm was what storm chasers refer to as “tail end Charlie,” or the southernmo­st storm in a line. That way, its warm “inflow” wasn’t interrupte­d by other storms.

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