San Diego Union-Tribune (Sunday)

356K MORE DIED THAN EXPECTED IN U.S. IN 2020

- THE NEW YORK TIMES

The year 2020 has been abnormal for mortalitie­s. At least 356,000 more people in the United States have died than usual since the coronaviru­s pandemic took hold in the country in the spring. But not all of these deaths have been directly linked to COVID-19.

More than a quarter of deaths above normal have been from other causes, including diabetes, Alzheimer’s disease, high blood pressure and pneumonia, according to a New York Times analysis of estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Some of these additional deaths may actually have been due to COVID-19, but they could have been undiagnose­d or misattribu­ted to other causes.

Many of them are most likely indirectly related to the virus and caused by disruption­s from the pandemic, including strains on health care systems, inadequate access to supplies like ventilator­s or people avoiding hospitals for fear of exposure to the coronaviru­s.

Research has shown that people with underlying health conditions such as diabetes, high blood pressure and heart disease are particular­ly vulnerable to severe illness and death if they contract COVID-19.

In several states, deaths attributed to diabetes are at least 20 percent above normal this year.

Prolonged economic stress on families during the pandemic could also be contributi­ng to increased deaths among those with chronic illnesses.

“You end up having to choose between your prescripti­on medication­s or buying groceries or keeping a roof over your head,” said Steven Woolf, director emeritus of the Center on Society and Health at Virginia Commonweal­th University, whose research has also shown deaths from other causes to be higher than normal.

At least 10 states have seen deaths from high blood pressure rise even higher than the national percentage.

Many people who die from high blood pressure are also at high risk for severe COVID-19, so some of these deaths could be COVID-19 deaths that are missed, according to Robert Anderson, chief of the mortality statistics branch at the CDC’S National Center for Health Statistics.

Other factors related to the pandemic like social isolation and challenges in getting emergency services could also have contribute­d to deaths, Woolf said. He also warned that many people who are not captured in mortality statistics may still have adverse health outcomes.

“A person who survived the pandemic may end up deteriorat­ing over the next few years because of problems that happened during the pandemic,” he said. This could include those who have missed checkups or have had delays in receiving proper treatment for an ailment.

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