FARMER’S PICKS

The L.A. Times’ NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week’s matchups. Lines according to Pregame.com (O/U = over/under). Last week’s record 11-5 (.688); season 151-72-1 (.677). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread would have been 8-8 (.500); season 115-104-5(.525). Times are Pacific.

Bears 28, Jaguars 17

TV: None. Directv: 705.

Line: Bears by 71⁄2. O/U: 47.

Big game for Bears. They’re finally giving the ball to David Montgomery a ton and letting Mitch Trubisky be more of a game manager. The Jaguars can hang in there with teams, but not for long.

Colts 24, Steelers 18

TV: None. Directv: 706

Line: Colts by 11⁄2. O/U: 441⁄2. Steelers receivers can beat man coverage, but the Colts don’t play a lot of man. They play a lot of two-deep coverage and stop the run. That, and Philip Rivers, is the winning formula.

Browns 35, Jets 24

TV: None. Directv: 708.

Line: Browns by 91⁄2. O/U: 471⁄2. Throw out last week, and the Jets’ stunning upset of the Rams. The Browns have that swagger and the players to back it up. It would be nice if the Browns had all of their receivers on hand.

Ravens 28, Giants 17

TV: None. Directv: 709.

Line: Ravens by 101⁄2. O/U: 44.

The Giants are done. Baltimore is playing desperate, and Lamar Jackson is starting to look like himself again. The Ravens can run, and will do so even against a Giants defense that sometimes plays well.

Texans 28, Bengals 21

TV: None. Directv: 710.

Line: Texans by 71⁄2. O/U: 46. Cincinnati’s defense played great against Pittsburgh on Monday, but the Texans’ offense has too much firepower. QB Deshaun Watson has been better since the coaching change, taking what is given.

Chiefs 35, Falcons 20

TV: Channel 5/69. Directv: 711.

Line: Chiefs by 101⁄2. O/U: 531⁄2.

The Falcons have been playing better defense with Raheem Morris as coach, and will do OK against run. But Patrick Mahomes can sling it, and that will put pressure on Matt Ryan to play catch-up.

Chargers 31, Broncos 27

TV: Channel 8. Directv: 712.

Line: Chargers by 3. O/U: 49.

The Chargers keep it rolling. Denver’s offense is young but has pieces to be good. The Chargers should be better on defense than they are. Still, Keenan Allen (hamstring) will have a good game if he plays.

Washington 17, Panthers 14

TV: None. Directv: 707.

Line: Pick ’em. O/U: 421⁄2.

Could be a close game, ugly and low scoring, especially with Washington’s issues at quarterback. But can Carolina’s offense get enough done against a Washington defense that can be ferocious?

Rams 28, Seahawks 24

TV: Channel 5/69. Directv: 713.

Line: Seahawks by 1. O/U: 471⁄2. Every so often, the Rams are as flat as can be, and that has to scare them. They usually play well against Seattle, will bounce back from flameout vs. Jets and Darrell Henderson could have a big game.

Eagles 31, Cowboys 23

TV: None. Directv: 714.

Line: Eagles by 21⁄2. O/U: 491⁄2.

Bit by bit, Jalen Hurts is proving it by the week. Philadelphia is starting to get healthier on offense and that’s the difference. The Cowboys’ defense is all-time bad and has its hands full in this one.

Packers 31, Titans 27

TV: Channel 7/39.

Line: Packers by 31⁄2. O/U: 56.

Two high-scoring teams in what could be a snowy shootout. Ryan Tannehill has been fantastic, but it’s hard to bet against Aaron Rodgers in these situations, especially if weather is a factor.

Bills 34, Patriots 17

TV: ESPN.

Line: Bills by 7. O/U: 46.

Year after year, the Bills have been beaten down by New England. Buffalo exacts some measure of revenge. Postseason seeding is in play and Josh Allen, playing at an MVP level, does a little rubbing it in.