San Diego Union-Tribune (Sunday)

FINLAND, SWEDEN OFFER NATO AN EDGE AS RIVALRY WARMS UP NORTH

Accession would broaden coverage against Russia

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The first surprise, for the Finnish conscripts and officers taking part in a Natohosted military exercise in the Arctic this spring: the sudden roar of a U.S. Marine helicopter assault force, touching down in a field right next to the Finns’ wellhidden command post.

The second surprise: Spilling out of their field headquarte­rs, the Finnish Signal Corps communicat­ions workers and others inside routed the U.S. Marines — the Finns’ designated adversary in the NATO exercise and members of America’s profession­al and premier expedition­ary force — in the mock firefight that followed.

Finnish camouflage for the Arctic snow, scrub and scree likely had kept the Americans from even realizing the command post was there when they landed, Finnish commander Lt. Col. Mikko Kuoka suspected. “For those who years from now will doubt it,” Kuoka, modestly stunned by the outcome of the random skirmish, wrote in an infantry-focused blog recording the outcome, of an episode he later confirmed for The Associated Press. “That actually happened.”

As the exercise made clear, NATO’S addition of Finland and Sweden — what President Joe Biden calls

“our allies of the high north” — would bring military and territoria­l advantages to the Western defense alliance. That’s especially so as the rapid melting of the Arctic from climate change awakens strategic rivalries at the top of the world.

In contrast to the NATO expansion of former Soviet states that needed big boosts in the decades after the Cold War, the alliance would be bringing in two sophistica­ted militaries and, in Finland’s case, a country with a remarkable tradition of national defense. Both Finland and Sweden are in a region on one of Europe’s front lines and meeting places with Russia.

Finland, defending against Soviet Russia’s invasion on the eve of World War

II, relied on fighters on snowshoes and skis, expert snow and forest camouflage, and reindeer transporti­ng weapons.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in late February, along with his pointed reminder about the Kremlin’s nuclear arsenal and his repeated invocation of broad territoria­l claims stemming from the days of the Russian Empire, have galvanized current NATO nations into strengthen­ing their collective defenses and bringing on board new members.

Finland — until 1917 a grand duchy in that empire — and Sweden abandoned longtime national policies of military nonalignme­nt. They applied to come under NATO’S nuclear and convention­al umbrella and join what is now 30 other member states in a powerful mutual defense pact, stipulatin­g that an attack on one member is an attack on all.

Putin justified his invasion of West-looking Ukraine as pushing back against NATO and the West as, he said, they encroached ever closer on Russia. A NATO that includes Finland and Sweden would come as an ultimate rebuke for Putin’s war, empowering the defensive alliance in a strategica­lly important region, surroundin­g Russia in the Baltic Sea and Arctic Ocean, and crowding NATO up against Russia’s western border for more than 800 additional miles.

Russia in recent years has been “rearming up in the north, with advanced nuclear weapons, hypersonic missiles and multiple bases,” NATO Secretary-general Jens Stoltenber­g said this month. “Russia’s threats, and Russia’s military build-up, mean that NATO is strengthen­ing its presence in the north.”

The U.S. and NATO are likely to increase their presence around the Baltic and Arctic with the accession of the two countries.

“Just looking at the map, if you add in Finland and Sweden, you essentiall­y turn the entire Baltic Sea into a NATO lake,” with just two smaller bits of Russia lining it, said Zachary Selden, a former director of the NATO Parliament­ary Assembly’s defense and security committee who is now a national security expert at the University of Florida.

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