San Diego Union-Tribune

ORDERS TO FACTORIES DIP 14.4% AS U.S. SHUTTERS

- BY MARTIN CRUTSINGER

Orders for big-ticket manufactur­ed goods plunged 14.4 percent in March, the second-biggest decline on record. The worse-than-expected slide underscore­d the severity of the economic impact from the pandemic.

New orders for commercial airlines actually went negative as cancellati­ons outpaced sales. Those orders plunged 295.7 percent with skies largely empty of planes. The last time so few people traveled by plane was in the pre-jet era.

The March decline was surpassed only by an 18.4 percent drop in August 2014. There was a 1.1 percent gain in February, before the government-mandated shutdowns across the nation to contain the virus had begun.

Demand in a key category that serves as a proxy for business investment eked out a 0.1 percent gain, but that followed a 0.8 percent decline in February.

The report Friday from the Commerce Department showed widespread weakness, with demand for transporta­tion products falling 41 percent. Demand for motor vehicles and commercial airliners both tumbled.

The dire numbers from Commerce followed a report showing that manufactur­ing production collapsed in March, with declines that have not been seen since the country demobilize­d after World War II.

And worse is on the way. The numbers from March capture only the beginning of the lockdown in mid-march. When April manufactur­ing numbers are released next month, the full force of the pandemic will be on display.

“We expect the coronaviru­s will deal a severe blow to U.S. business spending via suppressed global and domestic demand, broken supply chains, depressed oil prices, tighter financial conditions and elevated uncertaint­y,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at Oxford Economics.

“This will translate into some of the largest pullbacks in capital spending of all time,” Daco said.

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