PRODUCTIVITY DROPS 2.5% IN Q1 AS LABOR COSTS RISE

U.S. productivity fell a sharp 2.5 percent in the first three months of this year, the biggest decline since 2015, with labor costs jumping 4.8 percent.

The Labor Department reported Thursday that the decline in productivity, the amount of output per hour of work, was the sharpest drop since a 2.9 percent decline in the final quarter of 2015.

Productivity had risen 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter of last year.

The 4.8 percent increase in labor costs followed a tiny 0.9 percent gain in the fourth quarter and was the largest quarterly gain since a 5.7 percent rise in the first quarter of 2019.

The big jump in labor costs likely reveals how tumbling production and sales outpaced the speed at which companies could lay off workers. Unit labor costs would have spiked as that production slowed during the viral outbreak.

The drop in productivity reflected the biggest declines in output and hours worked since 2009 as the pandemic seized most of the country.

Productivity gains, which have been weak over the past decade, had been improving slightly in recent years. That may be pushed back further still with the nation nearing recession.

“The unprecedented COVID-19 shock put an end to the slow revival in productivity growth that took hold over the past three years,” said Lydia Boussour, senior U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “Going forward the trend in productivity growth will likely settle at a very subdued pace as firms remain reluctant to invest due to still-hesitant demand, financial pressure and lingering uncertainty.”