San Francisco Chronicle - (Sunday)

New home constructi­on dipped during the month of February

- By MATT OTT

WASHINGTON — Constructi­on of new homes fell again in February, but not as much as the previous month. Those declines follow a December surge which had pushed home constructi­on to the highest level in 13 years.

Builders started constructi­on on 1.60 million homes at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, a decline of 1.5% from 1.62 million units in January, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Analysts had expected a more significan­t drop. The economic impact of the coronaviru­s outbreak was not apparent in the February numbers.

Applicatio­n for building permits, considered a good sign of future activity, fell 5.5% in February to an annual rate of 1.46 million units. However, permits for singlefami­ly home constructi­on rose 1.7%.

“Singlefami­ly building permits rose for the tenth consecutiv­e month to a cycle high of 1.004 million,“said Neil Dutta, an economist at Renaissanc­e Macro Research. “Thus, the housing market was really hitting its stride before the onset of the coronaviru­s in the United States. That said, with homebuilde­r sentiment easing March, expect the gains in permits and constructi­on to ebb in the months ahead.”

Singlefami­ly housing starts were up 6.7% to 1,072,000 in February over the revised January figure of 1,005,000.

The report on housing starts showed that home building declined the most in the Northeast, falling 25.1%, followed by a 8.2% drop in the West. Home building fell modestly in the

West and South regions.

The National Associatio­n of Home Builders reported Tuesday that its survey of builders’ sentiment declined slightly in February, but remains high.

The group said that builder confidence reflected a decline in mortgage rates, a low supply of existing homes and a strong labor market with rising wages and the lowest unemployme­nt rate in a half century. But that could change drasticall­y in the coming months as American industry braces for the impact of COVID19, which is grinding the economy to a near halt as people stay home, airlines cancel flights and public events are called off.

“Due to the slowdown in economic growth and the volatility in markets from the coronaviru­s, mortgage rates will remain lower for longer, which will help homebuyers in the longer run,“said Joel Kan of the Mortgage Bankers Associatio­n. “However, we may start to see these homebuildi­ng trends take a turn for the worse, depending on the industry’s ability to continue daytoday operations during these difficult times.”

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