San Francisco Chronicle - (Sunday)

What do you expect to happen with interest rates in the coming months?

- Virginia Podesta Morse, Coldwell Banker Brokers Of The Valley, 707-888-2199, vmorse@cbnapavall­ey.com; Casey Morse, Coldwell Banker Brokers Of The Valley, 707-815-4340, cmorse@cbnapavall­ey.com.

A: Buyers and sellers have been anxiously monitoring the recent rate hikes and wading through the muck of sensationa­l headlines and cheap, myopic clickbait. It’s important to study how other key factors coalesce to create “the market”: buyer and seller reactions to lower home prices and higher rates, low inventory, the persistenc­e of multiple offers for well-prepared homes in desirable locations, and well-coached, cashheavy buyers. Successful buyers and sellers are leaning on trusted real estate advisors to navigate these murky waters.

Fits of market stagnation from low inventory, extra-discerning buyers, and sellers comfortabl­e with their roughly 3% can seem confusing. Well-advised clients who embrace the new rate reality and craft careful strategy are landing deals.

The good news? Rates are projected to decrease by half a percentage point in 2023’s fourth quarter, alleviatin­g fears and enticing more buyers back into the market. Buying now and refinancin­g in 2024 has become a popular strategy espoused by lenders.

By staying informed, understand­ing market dynamics, and working with a profession­al Realtor, you can navigate the complexiti­es and make sound decisions that align with your goals.

Jeremy Davidson, Compass, 415-717-4103,

jeremy.davidson@compass.com.

A: In this industry, I am accustomed to answering questions that normally require a crystal ball. This question is one of them.

We could see 8% interest rates for the 30-year product by year end. Inflation is still not under 3%, and supply shortages in the food, semiconduc­tor and pharmaceut­ical sectors could keep the price of goods higher. This motivates the Fed to tighten the money supply.

If a higher interest rate is paired with a housing inventory shortage, savvy sellers ought to offer rate buydowns to loan buyers to decrease the cost of purchasing a home. On top of that, sellers can offer closing cost credits to sweeten the deal. Sellers need to know how to overcome buyers’ hurdles so buyers can offer top dollar in return. These strategies could decrease the listing’s total days on market metric, which is 29 on average. Not all buyers have cash positions.

Dean Paul Dominguez, Alliance Bay

Realty, 510-304-6060, deanpaul.dominguez@gmail.com.

A: It is a bit impossible to know, because so many unpredicte­d things can happen in the world such as COVID-19, inflation and bank failures to name a few.

When things like this happen, all prediction­s go out the window, but to that end ... May 10 was a big date in the inflation environmen­t where analysts felt that year-over-year inflation numbers would finally be a good reflection of the true economic climate. This is in hopes of the Fed is seeing more favorable numbers with inflation trending down.

Those numbers came in good, so interest rates dropped. If that trend continues (and it should) interest rates should continue to come down with the expectatio­n, they will land in the 5% range.

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