San Francisco Chronicle

2nd attempts can reduce catastroph­es on runways

- By Alan Levin

An Asian airline’s wide-body slams into a sea wall in San Francisco. Elsewhere, a 737 with 150 people aboard hits the runway so hard its nose gear buckles. And a cargo plane barely misses houses before plowing into a hillside short of the runway.

These recent accidents, marking the deadliest period for airlines in the U.S. since 2009, have something in common: Had the pilots aborted their landings at the first sign of trouble — a move known as a go-around — they might have avoided tragedy.

“They’d all be walking, talking and alive if they went around,” said Patrick Veillette, a pilot who teaches and writes about aviation safety.

The three U.S. air crashes since July 6, which killed five people, spotlight

the difficulty in getting pilots to abort touchdowns if they haven’t made safe approaches to the runway. It’s “the largest, lowest hanging piece of safety fruit” to make flying less hazardous, according to research sponsored by the Flight Safety Foundation.

Crashes that occur during approach or touchdown are the world’s leading category of aviation mishaps and deaths, according to data compiled by Boeing. The biggest risk factor for such accidents is failing to approach a runway at the proper speed, altitude and heading, known as an un-stabilized approach.

If safety regulators can persuade pilots to conduct more goarounds, lives may be saved and costs to airlines in damaged equipment and liability may be lowered.

Computeriz­ed flighttrac­k records and a survey of 2,340 pilots sponsored by the safety foundation found that crews have a long way to go to comply with airline requiremen­ts to abort landings if their approaches were unstable. Almost all pilots, or 97 percent, continued to land in spite of the rules that they climb away from the runway and circle around to try again, according to the research.

“That’s a risk factor that we really need to work on,” said Rudy Quevedo, director of global programs at the foundation.

Safety is critical

The issue isn’t simple or new, Quevedo and Veillette said.

“There isn’t a commercial pilot who can say, ‘Shame on you. You should have gone around,’ ” Veillette said. “We’ve all been in situations where in retrospect, we should have gone around and didn’t.”

In some cases, rules may be overly rigid, akin to imposing a highway speed limit that is so low drivers routinely exceed it, Quevedo said. Violating the rules has become so ingrained that airlines don’t enforce them and pilots don’t recognize when they are taking unnecessar­y risks, he said.

Setting up a proper approach to a landing is critical to safety, according to the Federal Aviation Administra­tion, which regulates the U.S. aviation industry, and the United Nations’ Internatio­nal Civil Aviation Organizati­on.

“It’s really all physics,” Quevedo said. “You want to be centered on the runway on the correct trajectory, the correct descent rate and the right speed.”

If that happens, a plane will almost always cross the start of the runway at a height of about 50 feet, which is optimal for a safe landing, he said.

Airlines typically require that a plane be stabilized at 1,000 feet above the runway in poor visibility and at 500 feet in clear weather. Pilots must also have performed required checklists, extended landing gear and configured the plane for landing, according to the foundation. If these conditions aren’t met, the FAA advises pilots and airlines to go around.

Too late at SFO

While the U.S. National Transporta­tion Safety Board hasn’t said what caused the three recent crashes, informatio­n it has released shows evidence of the aircraft being unstable at points within a mile or two from the runway or of pilots perceiving they were off course.

Pilots on an Asiana Airlines Boeing 777 that hit a seawall short of an SFO runway on July 6 said they had indication­s once they reached 500 feet that they weren’t properly set up to land, according to NTSB Chairman Deborah Hersman. The crash injured dozens as the plane broke apart and slid to a stop. Two people died at the scene and a third died later in a hospital.

One pilot told investigat­ors the Asiana plane was below its optimal glide path at 500 feet, Hersman said. Shortly after, the plane veered off the runway centerline.

The pilots told investigat­ors they failed to notice other warning signs, including that their speed had slowed so much that the wings were in danger of losing lift. When they recognized what was happening, they attempted a go-around, adding power too late to avoid the accident, Hersman said.

Crash landing

A Southwest Airlines plane landed nose-first at New York’s LaGuardia Airport on July 22, breaking the landing gear and skidding across the runway.

The NTSB hasn’t said whether the Boeing 737-700 was on a stable approach. The captain took control of the plane from the first officer below 400 feet, according to the NTSB. In previous cases, such shifts in control occurred after an emergency or because the captain thought the approach needed correcting. Nine people suffered minor injuries.

The pilots of a United Parcel Service freighter that crashed in Birmingham, Ala., on Aug. 14 received a cockpit warning that they were descending too rapidly 7 seconds before they hit trees, the NTSB said. Whether the pilots also knew they were too low for their approach, which should have triggered a go-around, hasn’t been released. The Airbus SAS A300- 600F hit a dark hillside before dawn and broke apart, killing both pilots.

The NTSB has investigat­ed at least 21 cases since 1999 in which pilots could have prevented accidents or incidents if they had aborted landings that ran afoul of airline rules, according to the agency’s case files.

Dulled sense of risks

In an attempt to discover why such accidents continue to occur, the Flight Safety Foundation hired Martin Smith, a former pilot and psychologi­st who operates Presage Group in Canada. Smith oversaw the survey of pilots that found many weren’t following airline rules.

The pilots who didn’t go-around after an unstable approach tended to have a dulled sense of the risks and didn’t communicat­e as much with fellow crew members, Smith said. They also believed they wouldn’t be reprimande­d for attempting to land in those cases. A similar survey of airline managers is under way to determine why the rule is so widely overlooked, he said. At the same time, some pilots said the criteria for a stabilized approach aren’t realistic.

Researcher­s are attempting to design new standards that require aborting landings only in dangerous situations, improving safety without unnecessar­ily boosting go-arounds, which can create their own dangers, Quevedo said.

“We should expect that if we have a policy, the people should follow the policy,” he said. “But that being said, we need to make sure that the policy is good before we make people follow it. I don’t think we’re there yet.”

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