San Francisco Chronicle

Signature process for ballot measures now for the wealthy

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cost $ 2 million to $ 3 million to collect enough signatures to qualify a constituti­onal amendment for the ballot, said Mike Arno, owner of Arno Petition Consultant­s. This year it will be more like $ 5 million to $ 7 million.

“I’ve been doing this since 1979, and this is the weirdest year yet,” Arno said.“Everybody is experienci­ng horrendous pressure.”

Competitio­n intensifyi­ng

Seven measures already have enough signatures to get on the November ballot. An additional 79 petitions have been approved to collect signatures. Campaign officials predict that voters will weigh in on about 20 measures this fall — more than double the number of most recent elections.

Only four companies in the state do the bulk of the work to manage petitions and hire crews to get signatures. And as the clock ticks closer to spring deadlines for getting on the ballot, competitio­n for signatures is intensifyi­ng.

Three factors combined to cause this year’s glut. First, higher turnout in a presidenti­al election year tends to favor Democrats, encouragin­g leftleanin­g groups that want their proposals on the ballot. Second, the Legislatur­e decided a few years ago to prohibit initiative­s on the June ballot, moving all of them to November.

The third factor is this year’s low threshold for the number of signatures it takes to qualify a measure for the ballot. The number is determined by votes cast in the last gubernator­ial election, which was a record low in 2014.

Exacerbati­ng pressure on the crowded field is a 2013 court ruling that limited where petitions can be circulated. Campaigns can no longer stand outside many grocery stores, so they’re competing to find new places to nab voters.

“There’s a perfect storm of factors that came together to raise the prices across the board,” said Dan Newman, a political consultant who is running campaigns for a gun safety ballot measure and Gov. Jerry Brown’s effort to change criminal sentencing.

The big- money politics involving the cost of signatureg­athering surfaced recently in a battle between the tobacco lobby and a coalition of health and labor groups pushing a ballot measure to raise the tax on cigarettes.

Political profession­als

Lobbyists for the Altria cigarette company threatened to spike signature- gathering prices to keep the $ 2- per- pack cigarette tax off the ballot, said Dustin Corcoran, head of the California Medical Associatio­n, one of the groups sponsoring the measure. They would do it by paying more than double the current price for signatures for a competing measure and hiring up all the signature- gathering firms.

“They made clear that their goal was to drive up the signature price to make it impossible for us to qualify the $ 2 tax for the ballot,” Corcoran said. Altria lobbyists did not return calls for this story.

Direct democracy has spawned an industry of political profession­als who make a living from each step of the process. Most of the people who stand on street corners asking you to sign petitions are paid for each signature they get. The price is fluid, depending on how hard it is to explain the measure to voters, how tight the deadline is to get signatures and how many other campaigns are vying for the service.

Ballot cost grows by millions

In recent election years, campaigns would typically pay about a dollar or two per signature. This year, many campaigns are paying $ 3 to $ 4. That raises the cost of putting an initiative on the ballot by between $ 2 million and $ 4 million because of the large number of signatures campaigns must submit.

“It means a higher amount of money you’ve budgeted for your campaign is going for signature- gathering as opposed to voter contact later on. That’s unfortunat­e,” said Gale Kaufman, a political consultant who is running campaigns to legalize marijuana and extend income taxes approved four years ago by Propositio­n 30. CALmatters is a nonprofit journalism venture dedicated to explaining state policies and polititics. For more news analysis from Laurel Rosenhall, go to https:// calmatters. org/ news analysis.

 ?? Carlos Avila Gonzalez / The Chronicle 2014 ?? Political consultant Dan Newman says “a perfect storm of factors” means soaring costs for signature- gathering.
Carlos Avila Gonzalez / The Chronicle 2014 Political consultant Dan Newman says “a perfect storm of factors” means soaring costs for signature- gathering.

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