San Francisco Chronicle

Tocquevill­e’s observatio­ns of America explain Trump

- By John Arquilla John Arquilla is professor of defense analysis at the U.S. Naval Postgradua­te School in Monterey. His books include “The Reagan Imprint” and “Afghan Endgames.” In July, he wrote for Insight “Trump needs a military adviser who grasps mode

President-elect Donald Trump is not, by his own admission, an avid reader. But I’m guessing that he has at some point cracked open, and even absorbed, some ideas from Alexis de Tocquevill­e’s “Democracy in America.” The French nobleman spent nine months visiting the United States during 1831-32, and produced an amazing, prescient analysis of the young country published in two parts (1835 and 1840). Trump seems to embody some of the characteri­stics of the people Tocquevill­e describes, and is clearly well in tune with the Frenchman’s musings about the then-distant future.

In the recently concluded presidenti­al election campaign, the key line of attack on Trump aimed at the vagaries of his temperamen­t, which was depicted, at the very least, as boorish. Another theme focused on his alleged penchant for too-sharp business practices, as if he were a latter-day version of Sinclair Lewis’ protagonis­t in “Babbitt,” a man who was “nimble in the calling of selling houses for more than people could afford to pay.” Jeb Bush tried to devalue the Trumpian persona by saying, repeatedly, that “you can’t insult your way into the White House.” Wrong.

Why did none of these attacks defeat Trump? The answer lies in Tocquevill­e’s discussion of American behavior. He puts the matter quite succinctly: “In democratic countries, manners are generally devoid of dignity ... and they are frequently low.” Then he goes on to observe “but they are frequently more sincere.” And this may be the secret of Trump’s success: He is without question authentic. From his extemporan­eous speeches to his quick, sotto voce interpolat­ions during the presidenti­al debates, Trump personifie­d the rough earnestnes­s Tocquevill­e recognized in Americans nearly two centuries ago.

It is this authentici­ty that helped Trump ride the populist wave that washed him into high office. The power does not derive from the man, but rather from the people. As House Speaker Paul Ryan noted, so admiringly, Trump heard and heeded the discontent­ed voices to which others were not listening. In a country where 70 percent of the people believe all is not well, the candidate who acknowledg­ed this concern and pledged to act to rectify the situation prospered. For, as Tocquevill­e so accurately observed: “The people reign in the American political world . ... They are the cause and the aim of all things; everything comes from them, and everything is absorbed in them.” It took Trump, the antipoliti­cian, to remember this.

A final, Hail Mary assault on Candidate Trump had to do with his possible business ties to Russia and his admiration for Russian President Vladimir Putin. The fact that hackers alleged to be working for the Kremlin had made Swiss cheese of Democratic cybersecur­ity offered yet another Russian-flavored, anti-Trump angle of attack as well. But it didn’t work.

It turns out that Trump’s assessment of Russia is deep and nuanced. He sees that the effort to overthrow Syria’s Bashar Assad is doomed, but that Russia can be an important ally in the fight against the Islamic State and other terrorists. He also holds out the hope of greater cooperatio­n with Russia in world affairs. To my mind, this sounds a lot like Tocquevill­e on the subject of Russia and the United States: “Their starting-point is different and their courses are not the same; yet each of them seems marked out by the will of Heaven to sway the destinies of half the globe.”

So there it is; at the turn of every Trumpian corner we find Tocquevill­e. Whether the topic is personalit­y, populism or power politics. Coincidenc­e? Maybe. But I think not.

 ?? Evan Vucci / Associated Press ?? Donald Trump withstood campaign attacks on his temperamen­t and business practices primarily because he embodies the rough earnestnes­s that French nobleman Alexis de Tocquevill­e recognized in Americans almost two centuries ago.
Evan Vucci / Associated Press Donald Trump withstood campaign attacks on his temperamen­t and business practices primarily because he embodies the rough earnestnes­s that French nobleman Alexis de Tocquevill­e recognized in Americans almost two centuries ago.
 ?? Wikimedia ?? Alexis de Tocquevill­e, French diplomat
Wikimedia Alexis de Tocquevill­e, French diplomat

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