San Francisco Chronicle

Arctic danger: Report card shows unpreceden­ted warming.

- By John Schwartz and Henry Fountain John Schwartz and Henry Fountain are New York Times writers.

Persistent warming in the Arctic is pushing the region into “uncharted territory” and increasing­ly affecting the continenta­l United States, scientists said Tuesday.

“We’re seeing this continued increase of warmth pervading across the entire Arctic system,” said Emily Osborne, an official with the National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion, who presented the agency’s annual assessment of the state of the region, the “Arctic Report Card.”

The Arctic has been warmer over the past five years than at any time since records began in 1900, the report found, and the region is warming at twice the rate as the rest of the planet.

Osborne, lead editor of the report and manager of NOAA’s Arctic Research Program, said the Arctic was undergoing its “most unpreceden­ted transition in human history.”

In 2018, “warming air and ocean temperatur­es continued to drive broad long-term change across the polar region, pushing the Arctic into uncharted territory,” she said at a meeting of the American Geophysica­l Union in Washington.

The rising air temperatur­es are having profound effects on sea ice, and on life on land and in the ocean, scientists said. The impacts can be felt far beyond the region, especially since the changing Arctic climate may be influencin­g extreme weather events around the world.

The warmer Arctic air causes the jet stream to become “sluggish and unusually wavy,” the researcher­s said. That has possible connection­s to extreme weather events elsewhere on the globe, including last winter’s severe storms in the United States and a bitter cold spell in Europe known as the “Beast From the East.”

Some of the findings in the research, provided by 81 scientists in 12 countries, included:

The wintertime maximum extent of sea ice in the region, in March of this year, was the second lowest in 39 years of record keeping.

Ice that persists year after year, forming thick layers, is disappeari­ng from the Arctic. This is important because the very old ice tends to resist melting; without it, melting accelerate­s. Old ice made up less than 1 percent of the Arctic ice pack this year, a decline of 95 percent over the past 33 years.

Donald Perovich, a sea-ice expert at Dartmouth College who contribute­d to the report, said the “big story” for ice this year was in the Bering Sea, off western Alaska, where the extent of sea ice reached a record low for virtually the entire winter. The lack of ice and surge of warmth coincides with rapid expansion of algae species in the Arctic Ocean, associated with harmful blooms that can poison marine life and people who eat the contaminat­ed seafood.

Reindeer and caribou population­s have declined 56 percent in the past two decades, dropping to 2.1 million from 4.7 million.

 ?? Joe Macgregor / NASA Icebridge / New York Times ?? Disappeari­ng sea ice along Greenland’s coast in April. The Arctic has been warmer in the past five years than at any time in the modern era. The effects are felt far beyond the region.
Joe Macgregor / NASA Icebridge / New York Times Disappeari­ng sea ice along Greenland’s coast in April. The Arctic has been warmer in the past five years than at any time in the modern era. The effects are felt far beyond the region.

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