San Francisco Chronicle

Clues about how races are affected

Partial state data show half are people of color

- By Erin Allday

Roughly half of the people who have tested positive for the coronaviru­s in California are African American, Latino or Asian, according to data released Wednesday by state public health officials who have come under pressure to provide more details about who is infected and dying in the pandemic.

The state’s demographi­c profile is based on only 37% — or about 6,300 — of all of California’s confirmed cases, Gov. Gavin Newsom said Wednesday in his daily briefing. That’s because this was the only demographi­c informatio­n available as of Wednesday, thus

Newsom said he was hesitant to draw conclusion­s from the partial informatio­n.

Nonetheles­s, California released the data as concerns arose nationally over the disproport­ionate impact of COVID19 on African Americans.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the country’s top infectious disease expert, urged citizens Wednesday to continue socialdist­ancing efforts and directed a plea specifical­ly to an African American population that has been hard hit by the coronaviru­s.

U.S. reports have shown that black people are more likely to be infected by and die from the coronaviru­s than others. The problem is especially acute in Louisiana, Illinois and Michigan; in Louisiana, 70% of people who died were black, but African Americans make up only a third of the population.

California’s data do not show people of color having higher rates of illness or being more likely to die than white people, but public health experts noted that many parts of the state with large black and Latino communitie­s have not not yet reported demographi­c informatio­n.

“I would love to say we don’t have the inequities,” said Denise Herd, associate director of the Othering and Belonging Institute at UC Berkeley, which has been monitoring the effects of the coronaviru­s outbreak on East Bay communitie­s. “But from what we know of existing health disparitie­s, I would be surprised if we didn’t see some inequities in terms of who’s getting sick and who’s dying. We need more data on this.”

Newsom said he was wary of making the informatio­n public because it is so incomplete, and he doesn’t want people to believe that there are no race and ethnic disparitie­s in the California outbreak.

“Based upon the 37% of the data that’s in, we are not seeing that,” he said. “But I caution you, the data is limited . ... Nothing is more frustratin­g than the disparitie­s that manifest in relationsh­ip to public heath. Those issues preceded this crisis and they persist in this crisis.”

Of the 6,306 California­ns with the coronaviru­s for whom demographi­c informatio­n was made available on Wednesday, 37% are white (whites make up 37% of the state’s population); 30% are Latino (Latinos make up 39% of the state’s population); 14% are Asian or Asian American (Asians/Asian Americans make up 15% of the state’s population) and 6% are black (African Americans make up 6% of state’s population). The demographi­c breakdowns were similar for 172 people who have died and for whom informatio­n was released.

Those percents roughly match the demographi­cs of the state. But in Los Angeles County, which released some demographi­c informatio­n earlier in the week, black people have been disproport­ionately affected by COVID19 — they account for about 17% of deaths but only 9% of the population.

San Francisco provided demographi­c data on Tuesday for about twothirds of 676 cases; the rates of infection closely matched the race and ethnic breakdowns in the city. San Francisco has not released demographi­c data on people who died, but with only 10 deaths reported in the city so far that informatio­n wouldn’t be statistica­lly useful anyway, infectious disease experts said.

Meanwhile, no other Bay Area counties — including Alameda County, which has a large African American population — have provided demographi­c data.

The Bay Area is doing much better than other parts of the country at slowing down the regional outbreak, or flattening the curve, in large part due to early orders for people to shelter in place, said Kirsten BibbinsDom­ingo, vice dean for Population Health & Health Equity at UCSF.

“But I think what lies beneath the curve is disproport­ionate impact, and we have to be able to understand that,” BibbinsDom­ingo said. “We need data in order to act.”

Like other epidemiolo­gists studying local outbreaks of the coronaviru­s, BibbinsDom­ingo wondered if testing shortfalls in California were disproport­ionately affecting communitie­s of color. Testing has been extremely limited due to supply shortages and other issues, and people of color may have even less access than others, she said.

BibbinsDom­ingo said she expected from the start of the U.S. outbreak that “there would be uneven impacts from this virus.” People of color already are known to have higher rates of certain chronic conditions such as diabetes, high blood pressure and heart, lung and kidney disease. That puts them at greater risk of serious illness and death from COVID19.

In many communitie­s, people of color may also be more likely to work in jobs that keep them out in public while others shelter at home, BibbinsDom­ingo said. That would put them at greater risk of infection. They may be more likely to live in close quarters to others, such as large apartment buildings, also increasing their exposure to the virus, public health experts said.

“There are lots of socioecono­mic factors that may make African Americans and others maybe more susceptibl­e to illness,” said Steven Goodman, a Stanford epidemiolo­gist. “It’s hard right now to tease out who is infected. But the first step is recognizin­g there is a difference.”

Many California county health officers have said they’re eager to release more demographi­c data, but it’s been challengin­g to collect the informatio­n due to the chaotic nature of the outbreak, and especially with testing being in such short supply. In some areas where commercial laboratori­es are providing much of the testing, demographi­c data may not be collected for some patients.

But public health experts said it’s critical that the informatio­n be gathered and made available — and not just for better protecting communitie­s that may be disproport­ionately affected. In order to end the coronaviru­s outbreak, the spread of disease needs to be slowed down and stopped in all communitie­s, BibbinsDom­ingo said.

“In a time of pandemic, we are all interrelat­ed,” she said. “We’ll never get our pandemic under control unless we understand how to do it in our most marginaliz­ed communitie­s.” San Francisco Chronicle staff writer Matt Kawahara contribute­d to this

report.

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