San Francisco Chronicle

Virus toll passes grim mark Counties: San Mateo, Alameda, Solano OKd to move closer to reopening

- By Nora Mishanec, Shwanika Narayan and Roland Li

Seven of the nine Bay Area counties have achieved red status in the state’s colorcoded blueprint for reopening after Alameda, San Mateo and Solano counties improved from the highestris­k purple category Tuesday morning.

Those three counties may now join much of the region in loosening coronaviru­srelated restrictio­ns on businesses, though Alameda County officials said there would be no changes for at least two weeks.

The progress in keeping the coronaviru­s pandemic in check that prompted the change in the region’s status could bring some revival

in economic activity, particular­ly in the hardhit restaurant and personal service sectors. While employment has improved in the Bay Area recently, new jobless claims remain high in California, accounting for an outsize share of national claims for unemployme­nt benefits. Many businesses are struggling under strict shelterinp­lace rules, even with accommodat­ions made for outdoor operations.

Moving into the red tier allows the return of indoor dining, which has been absent for most of the last six months throughout the Bay Area, at 25% capacity. Gyms can open indoors at 10% capacity, movie theaters can open at 25% capacity, and malls and indoor retail can increase their caps on customers to 50% from 25%. Personal care businesses such as nail salons, barbershop­s and waxing services can open indoors with modificati­ons.

That leaves just Contra Costa and Sonoma counties on the most restrictiv­e purple tier, each with more than seven new cases daily for every 100,000 residents and positive test rates hovering around 5%.

San Francisco remained on red status, a decision county health officials opposed in a formal request to the state Public Health Department. Officials requested that the state reevaluate the city’s coronaviru­s data, which had appeared consistent­ly low enough to merit a move to the orange tier.

San Mateo County and Solano counties immediatel­y moved to adopt less restrictiv­e guidelines for certain businesses allowed in the red category. Officials in Alameda County took a more cautious approach, halting changes for the next two weeks as they monitor cases.

Under the streamline­d tier system, each county is given a color representi­ng its coronaviru­s risk level: Purple stands for widespread risk, red for substantia­l risk, orange for moderate and yellow for minimal. Each progressiv­e level comes with fewer restrictio­ns on businesses. Counties can be stricter than their state tier, but not more permissive.

To progress to the next lessrestri­ctive level, a county’s numbers must remain stable for a minimum of three weeks and meet the next tier’s more stringent requiremen­ts for two consecutiv­e weeks.

That twoweek window is necessary to chart the virus’ trend within a given county and to give contact tracing time to work, state Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly said at a news conference Tuesday.

With just 2.4% of tests coming back positive, San Francisco’s case numbers had appeared to meet the state’s criteria for the lessrestri­ctive orange status, but the city will remain on red for now. Ghaly did not detail his agency’s decisionma­king process except to say that conversati­ons about the city’s coronaviru­s metrics are ongoing.

Moving to the orange reopening tier would have paved the way for indoor dining in San Francisco, a requiremen­t set by local officials that is stricter than state rules. Mayor London Breed said last week she anticipate­d reaching orange status by the end of the month.

The city will move ahead with its planned loosening of restrictio­ns on religious gatherings, however, with the goal of reaching 25% operating capacity at places of worship by Oct. 1, officials said. That matches what the state allows for the red tier.

Each county’s ranking in the colorcoded system is governed by two critical factors: coronaviru­s case rates and positive test rates. The case rate calculatio­ns are adjusted to reflect testing volume, meaning areas with high testing, such as San Francisco, receive a modest boost.

The colorcoded system was intended to streamline the reopening process when it was rolled out late last month. By focusing on just two metrics — case rates and the rate of positive tests — the tiered rankings replaced a convoluted 58factor checklist.

Alameda County, like San Francisco, is exercising its prerogativ­e to maintain stricter rules. It said Tuesday that it would not make any changes in response to its new red status, effectivel­y pressing the pause button on reopening efforts.

“We are using the next two weeks to ensure our metrics remain stable,” the county said, adding that it will release a phased plan to roll out newly permitted activities.

Kim Hastings, 46, runs her waxing business at Phoenix Rising Salon, a hair salon in Montclair Village in Oakland. She’s been closed since midMarch and is anxiously waiting to open her waxing services. Three weeks ago, Alameda County allowed hair salons to begin indoor operations, but personal care services such as waxing remain prohibited.

“I’ve worked so hard to build my business, and I’ll be losing my clients to other Bay Area counties that are allowing this,” said Hastings. “I hope Alameda gives us the goahead.”

Alameda, the secondmost populous Bay Area county, is the worsthit in the region with 20,641 reported coronaviru­s cases as of Tuesday. Its reopening rules have been among the strictest.

Hastings’ revenue plummeted during the business closures. She’s been on unemployme­nt benefits since July, often receiving financial help from friends and family. She wants to go back to work, especially since her colleagues who work with hair are allowed to do so.

“My workspace is whiteglove ready. I have all the social distancing and safety protocols set up and I only work on one client at a time. I’m ready,” she said.

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