San Francisco Chronicle

Keep wildlife alive in faux, real realms

- By Peter Lindsey Peter Lindsey is director of the Lion Recovery Fund at the San Francisco-based Wildlife Conservati­on Network.

When Apple unveiled its Vision Pro headset last year, it was the $3 trillion company’s first foray into spatial computing — a new world of mixed reality, where the user’s physical surroundin­gs are superimpos­ed with interactiv­e screens while also being a screen.

Of the first batch of applicatio­ns available to Vision Pro users, one caught my attention. “Encounter Dinosaurs” immerses users in a neo-Jurassic landscape that “lets you come face-to-face” with prehistori­c creatures. Moving around in your physical surroundin­gs, you may find yourself followed by the curious gaze of a rajasaurus.

That the app provides a wonderous experience is no doubt. But as a conservati­onist, I worry this technology may also be a portal into our future — one when the creatures we currently coinhabit this planet with are reduced to a collection of interactiv­e pixels in headsets. It’s not such a far-fetched idea.

We are losing vertebrate­s faster than in any other epoch in history. Meanwhile, as our natural world shrinks, our appetite for consumeris­m grows. Vision Pro headsets, for example, are available for two-day shipping to virtually any corner of the country. Analysts expect sales of around 400,000 Vision Pro headsets in 2024 to produce for Apple “relatively immaterial” revenue of $1.4 billion.

That depiction, too, is tough for me to swallow. A comprehens­ive study I coauthored in 2018 estimated a nearly identical amount of money is required annually to safeguard Africa’s wildlife adequately. Our research determined that an infusion of at least $1.2 billion (adjusted for inflation, about $1.47 billion) would result in sufficient staffing and conservati­on of 90% of Africa’s nearly 300 protected areas — for a whole year.

Allocating these hard numbers to nature has been a longstandi­ng puzzle for conservati­onists. Wild landscapes are of immeasurab­le value to humanity. Whether it is the carbon storage of the African savannah or water filtration of the Sierra Nevada, what the ecosystem provides is inherently priceless. The fundamenta­l challenge facing conservati­onists is that this value has not yet been harnessed by traditiona­l financial markets, meaning that decisions are routinely taken, the world over, to convert natural habitats into degraded lands, resulting in the catastroph­ic loss of biodiversi­ty — and often for the most modest of returns.

It’s short-term gain for long-term pain. The physical components of an ecosystem are, like any piece of complex technology hardware, interconne­cted and indispensa­ble. But the African savannah isn’t composed of micro-OLED displays or M2 chips, making line-item cost calculatio­ns uniquely difficult. Instead, for our study, my co-authors and I used the lion as the critical component of our calculatio­ns. The African lion is an umbrella species that, as its ecosystems’ apex predator, serves as an effective proxy for the overall health of Africa’s expansive protected areas. Lion numbers are dwindling.

Through our conversati­ons with park officials and conservati­onists and an audit of government and donor funding, our financial models found that the current amount of capital allocated to the protected areas in our study (spanning 23 countries throughout Africa) — around $381 million — fell far short of what was required. Such a shortfall means that protection for lions and the vast flora and fauna in the African landscape are perilously underfunde­d, and their population­s are at risk of continued deteriorat­ion. The ramificati­ons extend far beyond nature alone; already struggling, wildlife tourism-dependent communitie­s and state economies bear the brunt of this funding shortfall.

This situation presents a stark, mixed reality of a different kind, one in which $1.4 billion — described as “immaterial” to a single company’s revenue projection­s — could literally alter the trajectory of not just a single species or ecosystem, but of an entire continent.

It’s a juxtaposit­ion that may seem dystopian but also offers a reason for hope. The requisite funding to protect African wildlife is — almost unconscion­ably — within reach. As things stand, less than 2% of charitable donations are allocated toward so-called “environmen­tal causes” — a catchall category that includes conservati­on and climate-related organizati­ons. Americans give about half a trillion dollars to charitable causes each year. If just 0.3% of that total were earmarked for Africa’s protected areas, they could support three to four times more wild lions than the current continenta­l population. That has the potential to secure the ecosystems that lions encompass, allowing for conservati­on gains for many other species and boosting African livelihood­s, communitie­s and economies.

Financiall­y and ecological­ly speaking, it would be a high return on investment.

Apple’s Vision Pro certainly isn’t the enemy of wildlife conservati­on, and African communitie­s aren’t imploring Americans to exchange their computing devices for charitable donations. Our foil is the seeming apathy of Western donors — and we can’t allow spatial computing to perpetuate ignorance of the problem via blind escapism.

That said, the optimist in me believes this technology — like so many others — can be harnessed for good. Modern innovation­s are helping government­s and communitie­s monitor wildlife population­s, track their movement, and through Generative AI, perhaps even one day, communicat­e with them. I hope that spatial computing will one day serve as an invaluable platform in which fieldbased conservati­onists can showcase the raw emotion and breathtaki­ng splendor of a lion in its natural habitat to a captive audience of at-home conservati­onists around the globe.

But the endgame can’t be entertainm­ent alone. Adequately addressing the wildlife conservati­on crisis demands a greater paradigm shift. Humanity must refocus our collective vision on preserving the precious reality we have left. That means funding it accordingl­y.

 ?? David Swanson/AFP/Getty Images ?? The projected sales for Apple Vision Pro in 2024 is $1.4 billion, which could pay for a year of Africa’s protected wildlife.
David Swanson/AFP/Getty Images The projected sales for Apple Vision Pro in 2024 is $1.4 billion, which could pay for a year of Africa’s protected wildlife.

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