Young voters like Sanders
and Warren’s numbers were unchanged.
“Their numbers didn’t move at all, even with other candidates dropping out,” Baldassare said.
Much of Sanders’ boost comes from his popularity with younger voters. Among voters ages 18 to 44, Sanders is the first choice of 45% of those surveyed, compared with 25% for Warren and 12% for Biden.
The order is reversed for voters 45 and older, with Biden at 32%, Warren at 22% and Sanders at 15%.
“There’s a huge age gap, with younger voters supporting Sanders in big numbers,” Baldassare said. “That could have implications for the turnout in March if having Sanders on the ballot brings out more young voters.”
But support for Sanders, who lists himself as a democratic socialist, plummeted when likely voters were asked which Democrat had the best chance of beating President Trump in November. Biden moved to the top at 46%, with Sanders at 25% and Warren at 10%.
“Electability was very important to the people we talked to,” Baldassare said.
California’s 430 delegates are the single big
gest prize among the 14 states voting on Super Tuesday. But it’s very possible they’ll be spread among several contenders.
Under the California Democratic Party rules, 159 delegates are divvied up in the statewide vote, while 271 others are set by the results in each of the state’s 53 congressional districts. And since delegates are awarded proportionally, with each candidate collecting at least 15% of the vote getting a share of delegates, one candidate conceivably could win the state
wide vote but end up with fewer delegates than someone whose support was better spread throughout the state.
The Public Policy Institute of California’s poll, which was taken from Jan. 3 to Jan. 12, tested the candidates who had qualified for Tuesday night’s presidential debate in Iowa. But it missed California businessman Tom Steyer, who qualified for the debate stage a day before last week’s deadline.
People surveyed were asked to volunteer the name of any other candidates they supported, but only businessman Andrew Yang made much of a mark, with 3% backing.
Steyer and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg didn’t register in the volunteered polling numbers, Baldassare said.
The poll of 530 likely Democratic primary voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 6.5 percentage points.