Santa Fe New Mexican

Mass deaths of sea life feared as ‘Blob’ resurges in Pacific Ocean

Researcher­s are monitoring a new heatwave off West Coast for effects on marine ecosystem

- By Andrew Freedman and Lauren Tierney

Across vast stretches of the Pacific Ocean extending from Hawaii north to the shores of Alaska, and southeast to near California, a new marine heat wave is underway. This event is widely referred to as “The Blob Part Two,” or just another “Blob.” The first event, which took place from 2014 through 2016, earned that odd moniker based on its bold red appearance on maps of ocean surface temperatur­es.

The new incarnatio­n already has caused coral bleaching in the Hawaiian islands and may be tied to strandings of marine mammals along the California coast. If it intensifie­s and seeps into deeper waters, this marine heat wave could favor another drought in California by altering the jet stream flowing across the Pacific.

But it’s not a sure bet that the current blob —a large splotch of red, resembling planetary acne, on global maps displaying sea surface temperatur­e difference from normal — will have the staying power of the last event.

That is mainly because much of the warmer-than-average ocean temperatur­es extend down only to about 65 feet, not to deep depths, said Andrew Leising, a research oceanograp­her with the National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion. That is in contrast with the last one, when warm waters went down to nearly 400 feet in some areas.

“It is its own event; it is doing its own thing,” Hillary Scannell, an oceanograp­her at the University of Washington, said in an interview.

“Things are happening a little differentl­y,” Scannell said, noting that the last event was centered more in the northeaste­rn Pacific and developed during the fall and winter, whereas this one has taken hold during the summer.

“A lot of folks are really worried because we’ve had these recurring heat waves in the northeast Pacific, and so the ecosystems here haven’t had a chance to experience what’s normal in a while,” she said.

Hawaii has been seeing the most serious effects of this heat wave. The state had its hottest summer on record, with dozens of daily temperatur­e records falling across the islands as well as all-time and monthly temperatur­e records. Coral bleaching has damaged the reefs that help sustain the state’s critical tourism industry, and that is forecast to worsen in coming weeks.

The unusually warm ocean waters mean Hawaii’s traditiona­l defense against approachin­g tropical storms and hurricanes does not exist this year, since it is relatively low ocean temperatur­es that protect the islands during most eastern Pacific hurricane seasons.

The causes of the ongoing marine heat wave are varied, including natural variabilit­y, weather and long-term, human-caused climate change. A climate cycle involving the Pacific Ocean and atmosphere, known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillatio­n, or PDO, is a phase that increases the odds of events such as this one but does not create them on its own, Scannell said. Instead, weather patterns featuring lighter-than-usual winds allow waters to heat up, and unless fall and winter storms churn enough cooler water up from below, the incipient Blob could expand and intensify.

The first Blob, helped build up a strong ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere over the Northeast Pacific, routing winter storms away from California and plunging the state into its worst drought in at least 1,200 years.

Leising has been tracking marine heat waves in the Pacific using satellite data that extends to 1982. In that time, the 2014-16 event stands out as the largest and longest-lasting such one on record. But the new Blob, even though it’s only about 100 days old, has already clinched the second spot.

That reflects a greater trend toward more frequent, larger and severe marine heat waves as ocean temperatur­es increase in general thanks to global warming. “These recent events are almost double everything else we’ve seen,” Leising said.

Since this marine heat event is occurring at a different time of year, it may have different effects on ecosystems, but there already have been mysterious and worrisome events from Hawaii to Alaska and California, which may indicate that the return of the Blob is having similar effects to those of the last one.

In Alaska, where unusually warm waters exist all around the state because of the combinatio­n of an early melt of sea ice cover and the broader marine heat wave, there has been an unusually high number of sea bird and seal deaths, probably because of the unavailabi­lity of prey. NOAA is also investigat­ing an unusually high number of gray whale deaths that have occurred this year along the West Coast, from Mexico north to Alaska.

Nick Bond, an atmospheri­c scientist at the University of Washington credited with coining the Blob moniker, said the last event caused “a litany of horrors,” including dead sea birds washing up “in piles” along beaches in Washington state.

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 ?? MICHAEL ROBINSON CHAVEZ/WASHINGTON POST ?? An elephant seal pup peers through a gate at the Marine Mammal Center in Sausalito, Calif., Observers fear a resurgence in a marine heat wave that led to a spike in deaths of sea lion pups, among other species.
MICHAEL ROBINSON CHAVEZ/WASHINGTON POST An elephant seal pup peers through a gate at the Marine Mammal Center in Sausalito, Calif., Observers fear a resurgence in a marine heat wave that led to a spike in deaths of sea lion pups, among other species.

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