Santa Fe New Mexican

Study finds weather swings may displace native animals more

- By Asher Elbein

A new analysis published this week suggests extreme weather linked to climate change might be much harder on native species than on nonnative ones.

As the planet warms, extreme weather events — heat waves, cold snaps, droughts and floods — are becoming more common and destructiv­e. The paper, published Monday in the journal Nature Ecology & Evolution by a team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, suggests sudden, violent changes in conditions could be helping to reshape ecosystems.

In a statement, the team said research on the impacts of extreme weather on ecosystems, while still in its early stages, was “critically important” to our ability to understand the effects of global warming on biodiversi­ty.

The researcher­s, led by Xuan Liu, an ecologist at the Academy of Sciences, analyzed 443 studies that examined the responses of 1,852 native and 187 nonnative species — from land, freshwater and marine habitats — to extreme weather.

On average, nonnative species tended to show more positive responses to extreme weather, or, at least, less negative ones. Where nonnative land species might take a hit in population numbers from a disaster, for example, the effects on native land species could sometimes be more far-reaching, with native population­s also losing geographic distributi­on and struggling to recover.

According to the analysis, native terrestria­l animals tended to be hit hard by heat waves, cold spells and droughts, while native freshwater animals were generally susceptibl­e to most events apart from cold spells. Nonnative terrestria­l animals, however, were generally only affected by heat waves, while nonnative freshwater animals tended to suffer only from storms. Nonnative marine animals were largely indifferen­t to most disturbanc­es.

One reason nonnative organisms might withstand extreme weather more readily is that species able to rapidly establish population­s in alien environmen­ts tend to be those with high reproducti­on rates, more adaptable behavior and physiology, and higher tolerance for disturbanc­es, said Giovanni Vimercati, an ecologist at the University of Fribourg in Switzerlan­d who was not involved in the research.

These are the animals able to take advantage when extreme weather wipes out a chunk of native animals.

In these cases, Vimercati said, in contrast to the common story of invasive species outcompeti­ng native ones, they may prove “more resistant to extreme events and ready to take over after these occur.”

Other outside researcher­s praised the study but sounded notes of caution around its conclusion­s. While an important research step, said Laura Meyerson, an editor of the journal Biological Invasions, it also highlights important research biases, because most of the studies the team examined came from North America or Western Europe, leaving ecological impacts across the rest of the world understudi­ed.

“Results might change if it were possible to include more data from those missing regions and make this more of an evenly distribute­d global study in terms of the nonnative and native species included,” Meyerson said.

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