South Florida Sun-Sentinel Palm Beach (Sunday)
Over and doubt
After a rough season, it’s time to break down season-ending roster
MIAMI — A losing record, out of the playoffs for the third time in five seasons, only one playoff victory over the past three years ... and no clear path to a potential offseason makeover.
So where do the Heat stand at the moment?
A look at the season-ending roster, with salaries and the individual outlooks going forward.
Bam Adebayo
Age: Turns 22 on July 18.
Contract status: Due
$3.5 million for 2019-20 on third year of rookie-scale contract, with team options for 2019-20 and ‘20-21.
Heat outlook: Based on how he was utilized at the end of the season, Adebayo appears to set up as the Heat’s starting center of the future, a versatile multi-tool presence whose only drawback might be a lack of needed size against the NBA’s biggest big men. Seemingly as much of the future core as anyone on the roster.
Goran Dragic
Age: Turns 33 on May 6.
Contract status: Holds
$19.2 million player option for 2019-20, with right to otherwise become a free agent this summer.
Heat outlook: In many ways, Dragic showed his value in his absence, with the Heat going more than half the season without their floor leader and arguably best player because of a knee issue. The question becomes whether Dragic opts out for one final multiyear contract, or whether he waits until the 2020 offseason for possibly a careerending Heat deal, if the money is there.
Udonis Haslem
Age: Turns 39 on June 9.
Contract status: Becomes unrestricted free agent on July 1. Heat can exceed salary cap to re-sign Haslem with his Bird Rights up to NBA maximum.
Heat outlook: Erik Spoelstra wants Haslem back, and considering Haslem is a year-round South Florida resident, the only question is whether the roster spot will be needed for a developmental prospect. There is plenty to be said about functioning as an assistant coach while on a player salary.
James Johnson
Age: Turns 33 on Feb. 20.
Contract status: Due
$15.3 million for 2019-20 on third year of four-year free-agent contract, with player option for
$16 million in 2020-21.
Heat outlook: Johnson has vowed to get back to the productivity displayed at the end of 2016-17, the athleticism and skill level that led to his lucrative deal. Considering there is no trade value, that might be the Heat’s only hope. But saying it is different than doing it. Is anything still there?
Derrick Jones Jr.
Age: Turns 23 on Feb. 15.
Contract status: Due $1.6 million (non-guaranteed) for 2019-20, with salary becoming guaranteed Aug. 1.
Heat outlook: Playing Jones as a starter was a bit of a reach, but the Heat injury situation limited the options. Ultimately, he is a high-energy reserve, best utilized in limited doses. While he thrived in the Heat’s zone, that also led to the over-utilization of the approach. The addition of a reliable 3-point shot, though, was a step forward.
Kelly Olynyk
Age: Turns 29 on April 19.
Contract status: Due
$12.7 million for 2019-20, with player option for $13.6 million in 2020-21.
Heat outlook: Olynyk was part of some of the best of times and worst of times in 2018-19. He remains a unique presence who requires a unique scheme on both ends of the court. The question becomes how far a team should bend its approach around Olynyk, whether he merits being a featured component or a unique role player.
Josh Richardson
Age: Turns 26 on Sept. 15.
Contract status: Due
$10.1 million for 2019-20,
$10.9 million in 2020-21 and player option for $11.6 million in 2021-22.
Heat outlook: There was a point at the start of the season when Richardson made the Heat look smart in bypassing Jimmy Butler. And then came the realization that casting him as a go-to player might have been an overreach. Instead, he remains a value player, one who might remain shy of All-Star level.
Dwyane Wade
Age: Turns 38 on Jan 17.
Contract status: Becomes unrestricted free agent on July 1. Heat can exceed salary cap to re-sign Wade with his Early Bird Rights.
Heat outlook: He won’t, right? He can’t, right? Not after everything that happened this season, right? So of course there will be no comeback. But what happens if a key component is injured and playoffs again become possible and a friend comes asking for a friend . . . ?
Dion Waiters
Age: Turns 28 on Dec. 10.
Contract status: Due
$12.1 million for in 2019-20 and $12.7 million for 2020-21.
Heat outlook: This is as weighty a question as the Heat face this offseason. Because Dion Waiters cannot play looking like he did at the end of this season, when he stood as 3-or-bust with his offense. The hope is that Waiters takes a look in the mirror, and then moves as needed from there. Trade value does not exist at the moment.
Hassan Whiteside
Age: Turns 30 on June 13.
Contract status: Holds
$27.1 million player options for 2019-20, with right to otherwise become a free agent this summer.
Heat outlook: The possibility of actually opting out in the hope of receiving playing time elsewhere remains remote at this price point. But the Heat also cannot continue to pretend that playing Whiteside in reserve is an answer. This could be a case of moving off a player in trade even if it means inheriting someone else’s concern. The situation with Erik Spoelstra seems irreparable.
Justise Winslow
Age: Turns 24 on March 26.
Contract status: Due
$13 million for 2019-20, $13 million in 2020-21, with a $13 million player option for 2021-22.
Heat outlook: The time as a primary ballhandler was intriguing. But this also is a roster that does not necessarily allow for such continued exploration, particularly if Goran Dragic is back. More important is growing the overall game, with Winslow as likely as any player on this roster to receive the Heat’s next All-Star berth, if there is to be one.
Ryan Anderson
Age: Turns 30 on May 6.
Contract status: Due
$21.3 million for 2019-20 on final year of contract, but salary reduced to $15.6 million if bought out by July 10.
Heat outlook: The acquisition of Anderson at the trading deadline was about nothing more than the math. He will be gone by July 10, because there otherwise was no reason to make the Tyler Johnson/Wayne Ellington trade with the Suns. The reality is that if Dragic and Whiteside opt out, Anderson, in absentia, will be the Heat’s highest-paid player in 2019-20.
Duncan Robinson
Age: Turns 24 on April 22.
Contract status: Holds partially guaranteed $1.4 million contract for 2019-20, with similar partially guaranteed salary for 2020-21, both years with target dates for guarantees.
Heat outlook: It’s all about the 3-point shooting and whether enough can be offered with the balance of his game to merit reserve minutes. For as promising as the shooting is, the defense remains suspect at this level. Summer league sets up as a passfail test on defense.
Yante Maten
Age: Turns 23 on Aug. 14.
Contract status: Holds partially guaranteed $1.4 million contract for 2019-20, with similar partially guaranteed salary for 2020-21, both years with target dates for guarantees.
Heat outlook: If not for a midseason ankle injury in the G League, Maten well might have been fast-tracked for minutes this past season. These are the type of prospects the Heat will need to get back to producing, with Tyler Johnson and Rodney McGruder excised along the way.
Kendrick Nunn
Age: Turns 24 on Aug. 3.
Contract status: Holds partially guaranteed $1.4 million contract for 2019-20, with similar partially guaranteed salary for 2020-21, both years with target dates for guarantees.
Heat outlook: It’s hard to say no to streak scoring, an element the Heat lacked this past season. This is a low-risk play that could leave the former college scoring star as the replacement for the second-round pick that the Heat don’t have this June.