COVID-19 restrictions are ridiculous and need to end
With more than 2 million Americans getting covid-19 vaccination shots each day, many are asking a simple question: When can we resume normal life? The answer should be pretty simple as well — as soon as your immunity kicks in.
But the Biden administration is telling the covidweary country: Not so fast. Last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released complex guidelines, full of conditions and stipulations, listing what vaccinated people can and cannot do. You can “visit with other fully vaccinated people indoors without wearing masks or physical distancing” and “visit with unvaccinated people from a single household who are at low risk.” But “all people, regardless of vaccination status, should adhere to current guidance to avoid mediumand large-sized in-person gatherings.” So, no church services, sporting events, concerts or long-delayed weddings. Even more absurdly, the CDC advises after getting the vaccine, you should continue to “delay travel and stay home.”
How long will these restrictions persist? In his address to the nation last week, President Joe Biden said if we are on our best behavior for the next four months, then by the Fourth of
July “small groups will be able to get together” for backyard cookouts, but “that doesn’t mean large events with lots of people together.”
This is ridiculous. I asked Marty Makary, a physician and professor at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, what the guidance should be. “After you have a first dose, give it four weeks for the vaccine to kick in, and then live a normal life,” he told me. “It’s that simple.”
He’s right. Studies show that the Pfizer vaccine has a 94.8% efficacy in preventing covid infection after the second dose.
But writing in the New England Journal of Medicine, Canadian researchers found that “even before the second dose, [the Pfizer vaccine] was highly efficacious, with a vaccine efficacy of 92.6%, a finding similar to the first-dose efficacy of 92.1% reported for the [Moderna] vaccine.” And that is the efficacy rate in preventing any covid infection whatsoever. “It’s 100 percent effective in preventing death after four weeks,” Makary says. The booster shot is essential for longer-term immunity, but “you get incredible protection from the first dose in the short term.” If you’re around unvaccinated people at risk of bad outcomes, use precautions. Wear a mask indoors for a few more weeks or months just to be on the safe side. But a new study by the Israeli Health Ministry found that the Pfizer vaccine reduces asymptomatic transmission by 94%. “The Israeli study showed that you really don’t transmit it once you get the vaccine,” Makary says.
As more Americans get their shots, the combination of vaccinated immunity with natural immunity from prior infection will help us reach herd immunity this spring. “We’ve already hit herd immunity for health-care workers,” he says.
There’s light at the end of the tunnel, but many in the public health establishment seem to want to keep us in darkness. Perhaps that’s because experts like Anthony Fauci, director of the
U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, got it so wrong at the start of the pandemic — on detection, on testing, on masking — that they are afraid they will get it wrong again at the pandemic’s end. Fortunately, Makary is willing to say what they won’t: “Get your vaccine. Give it four weeks. Live your life.”
Marc A. Thiessen writes for The Washington Post.