Joe Biden’s impossible EV dream ignores key issues
Government’s language often radiates contempt for the governed, as when the Environmental Protection Agency recently said limits on automobile emissions in model years 2027-2032 will “give drivers more clean vehicle choices.”
The regulations are, of course, explicitly intended to restrict consumers’ choices by forcing manufacturers to produce fewer cars that have tailpipe emissions. Drivers will be able to choose any vehicle they want, from the “clean” category government prefers.
The Biden administration’s costly and coercive crusade to replace internal combustion vehicles with electric vehicles is disproportionate to its minuscule climate impact. The American Enterprise Institute’s Benjamin Zycher says the EPA’S assumptions project that the new regulations will mitigate global warming by 0.023 degrees Celsius by 2100. Because the standard deviation of the Earth’s surface temperature record is 0.11 degrees Celsius, “that effect would not be detectable.”
Each half-ton battery for “clean” vehicles requires digging and processing 50 to 250 tons of earth for copper, nickel, aluminum, graphite and lithium, the prices of which will increase when the easily accessed supplies decrease. All existing and planned mines can meet “only a small fraction” of the needed increase of those materials. The International Energy Agency says hundreds of huge new mines will be needed, each taking a decade or more to open.
EPA emissions standards for heavy-duty trucks will require more of them to be EVS (currently, 99% are not). Electric semis are heavy (because of their batteries), damage roadways and generate particulate-matter pollution from roads and their special tires. The Wall Street Journal reports that “an electric semi consumes about seven times as much electricity on a single charge as a typical home does in a day.” They require frequent recharges (95 minutes to charge the battery from 25% capacity to 93%), as well as multiple time-consuming trips because their weight limits load sizes.
Consumer Reports finds that EVS have 79% more problems than ICVS. This is one reason Hertz, having preened about its plans to purchase 100,000 Teslas, is selling 20,000 of them. Other reasons include: Hertz cycles its fleet into the used-car market, where an EV glut caused prices to plummet 33% between 2022 and 2023. Its Teslas are involved in four times more accidents than its ICVS. Tesla’s complex electronics make them substantially more expensive than ICVS to repair.
Consumer resistance to EVS has pushed down prices, which has slashed the value of Hertz’s multibillion-dollar investment in them.
Vehicle manufacturers, which are losing serious money on every EV they build, are compensating by raising prices. Manufacturers begging government for evermore multibillion-dollar subsidies resemble Oliver Twist holding out his gruel bowl: “Please, sir, I want some more.” Having become government appendages, they also want government to provide more charging stations. What could go wrong?
In 1920, there were only 9.2 million U.S. passenger and commercial vehicles; by 1930, that number had nearly tripled. There were more than 121,000 filling stations provided by the private sector. A miracle? No, just the market working. In the two years since Congress allocated $7.5 billion for government-built charging stations, seven have been built. This glacial pace is partly because government regulations about implementing government regulations cause government to congeal.
Winter is unkind to
EVS: Cold slows the batteries’ chemical reactions. Some drivers who joined lines at charging stations with (supposedly) ample miles of remaining battery capacity had to be pushed to the chargers. Hot weather, too, makes the chemical reactions less efficient.
Spring, however, is Goldilocks season for EVS — neither too hot nor too cold. And soon, perhaps, government regulations will require temperatures to be mild, always and everywhere.