Less frugal Americans are taking on more debt

NEW YORK - After a stint of frugality, Americans have returned to their borrowing ways. But are they getting into the kinds of debt trouble that lead to recessions?

U.S. consumers owe roughly $12.73 trillion to banks and other lenders for mortgages, car loans and credit card spending, according to the New York Federal Reserve. That exceeds the total before the last financial crisis.

Economists generally say people’s willingness to borrow is a good thing because it shows they’re more confident about their financial futures. And the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago, when economists called the debt unsustainable and the housing market crashed. That’s not the concern now.

“Some of us are worried that consumers are going back into old habits, but the U.S. consumer is in a much different position before the financial crisis and even before in the late 1990s,” said Ryan Sweet, an economist with Moody’s Analytics who is not related to the AP reporter.

Gone are the worries about second homes financed with no-money-down mortgages. The stress points now are in three main categories: auto loans, credit cards and — to a greater extent but for different reasons — student loans. See DEBT, Page 7A

“If it’s not a tool you can use to build stability and long-term net worth, debt leads to more problems than it can solve,” said Todd Christensen, a credit counselor with the nonprofit organization Debt Reduction Services.

Student loans

Not all debt is considered equal, and both mortgages and student loans have typically been considered ways for people to leverage themselves into a better life. Home loans historically have been a way for middle-class Americans to build wealth, while student loans helped people get betterpaying jobs.

Student loans have become a source of concern, though, as they become a greater proportion of the debt Americans owe — and those debts are not being paid back. In 2007, student loan debt was less than 5 percent of the debt Americans owned. That figure has more than doubled in 10 years to nearly 11 percent.

As college costs have risen and student loans get larger, the amounts that are delinquent have been increasing. Americans currently have $1.34 trillion in student loan debt, of which 10.98 percent is 90 or more days past due. That’s up from 6.85 percent of loans 10 years ago.

“Student loans are a place to keep an eye on” as a potential long-term problem for the U.S. economy, Sweet said.

Delinquent student loans can hurt a person’s credit score and affect the ability for a first-time buyer to qualify for a mortgage.

Car loans

Americans have been on a car-buying binge, as automakers sold a record 17.6 million cars last year to beat the level set a year earlier. People are also borrowing more money to buy their cars and financing them for longer periods of time.

The average length of a new car loan is about 62 months, compared to 55 months before the Great Recession, according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve. And delinquencies in auto loans have been inching higher as well. The percent of auto loans 90 days or more past due has climbed for 13 straight months, to 2.3 percent of all loans. Five years ago, that figure was 1.63 percent.

Most of the delinquencies in auto loans have been concentrated around subprime borrowing, which has become more accessible to consumers in recent years. Americans with credit scores of less than 620, which is typically considered subprime or deep subprime, owe roughly $280 billion in auto loans — exceeding their prerecession peak set in 2007, according to the New York Federal Reserve.

Credit cards

Of the three worry spots, credit cards are often seen as the most toxic of debts. They’re easy to accumulate, generally used to buy non-wealth-generating consumer goods and often have the highest interest rates.

Americans are carrying less credit card debt then they did before the Great Recession but have re-embraced using them. Credit card debt has risen from $659billion in 2014 to $746billion last year, according to data from the New York Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, after years of trending lower, Federal Reserve data show credit card delinquencies have reversed course and are climbing again — albeit still from relatively low levels.

Another specter over those who are carrying higher credit card balances: interest rates.

With the economy in good shape, the Federal Reserve has started raising interest rates. But unlike mortgages, most auto loans and student loans, credit card rates are variable and can move higher as the prime rate does. So that 15 percent rate on a credit card balance has moved up to 16 percent.