The Arizona Republic

Trump paints Democrats in corner

Analysts: Sanctuary city plan is attempt to show inaction on migrant crisis

- Daniel Gonzalez

A White House proposal to release migrants in sanctuary cities is an overt political move by President Donald Trump to paint Democrats as doing nothing to address the surge in migrant families arriving at the border, analysts say.

The White House proposal, first reported by The Washington Post, has been rejected by immigratio­n officials.

Whether or not the proposal is carried out, it underscore­s the political tightrope Democrats face in crafting their own response to the unfolding humanitari­an crisis at the border, especially heading toward the 2020 presidenti­al election.

Democrats don’t want to leave themselves vulnerable to Trump’s attacks that they support “open borders.”

That means that in addressing the rising numbers of families crossing the border illegally and asking for asylum, Democrats will have to adopt a mixture of humanitari­an policies that also include some border-enforcemen­t measures without making it appear they support Trump’s hard-line immigratio­n stance, analysts say.

So far, they haven’t.

“I think they have been a little gunshy in challengin­g President Trump,” said Louis DeSipio, a political scientist at the University of California-Irvine.

But as the presidenti­al election approaches, Democrats will quickly need a plan to address the situation at the border as illegal immigratio­n has shifted in recent years from single men from Mexico to migrant families, mostly from poverty and violence-plagued countries in Central America, turning themselves over to Border Patrol and asking for asylum, he said.

“And if Venezuela should collapse into civil war, the flow of refugees will only increase,” DeSipio said.

The difficulty for Democrats is that early on they chose to downplay the growing number of migrant families arriving at the border, said David Martin, professor emeritus of law at the University of Virginia, who served as a general counsel in the former Immigratio­n and Naturaliza­tion Service as well as at DHS.

Instead, Democrats attempted to call attention instead to statistics that showed overall Border Patrol apprehensi­ons were nowhere near the peak levels seen in the early 2000s while accusing Trump of creating a “manufactur­ed crises” to justify declaring a national emergency to build a border wall.

“The Democratic response, much of it early on, when the president was talking about declaring a national emergency, they were saying, ‘Well, wait a minute; migration is at a low point. Look at these charts over the last 20 years. We are not getting nearly as many apprehensi­ons as we used to so the flow is greatly reduced,’ ” Martin said.

“That response had some strength back in January. It weakens as these numbers have gone up and the pace of arrivals has really substantia­lly increased.”

Border Patrol apprehensi­ons reach a 12-year high in March

Earlier this week, DHS officials announced in March Border Patrol apprehensi­ons hit 92,607. That was the highest monthly total since April 2007, when 104,465 immigrants were stopped trying to enter the country illegally.

Of those apprehende­d in March, more than half were adults and children arriving as families.

The Border Patrol apprehende­d nearly 190,000 family members through March of the current fiscal year, a 374 percent increase from the nearly 40,000 family members apprehende­d during the same period the previous year, U.S. Customs and Border Patrol statistics show.

Democrats face the “internal political problem” of crafting a strategy to address the surge in migrant families that will need to include some enforcemen­t measures after railing against Trump’s enforcemen­t policies over the past two years, Martin said.

“To be effective in the 2020 election, the Democrats still have to be credible on border enforcemen­t, but they need to find a way to define it that is different than the way the president is talking about it,” Martin said.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a Democrat from California, and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Republican from Kentucky, both said this week they are ready to sit down and work on a bipartisan solution to address the surge in migrant families arriving at the border.

“To be effective in the 2020 election, the Democrats still have to be credible on border enforcemen­t.” David Martin Professor emeritus of law, University of Virginia

Grijalva: Concentrat­e first on short-term solutions

U.S. Rep. Raul Grijalva, D-Ariz., said he believes Democrats can come up with a strategy that combines border enforcemen­t with measures that preserve the right for families to seek asylum in the U.S. Those solutions include hiring more immigratio­n judges to handle asylum claims and increasing the number of Customs and Border Protection officers at ports of entry, he said.

His district, which includes a 300mile stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border, has been directly affected by the surge in migrant families.

Border Patrol apprehensi­ons of migrant families have soared 275 percent this year in the Yuma area. In March, U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers began releasing migrant families onto the streets of Yuma after processing centers became to overwhelme­d to handle the surge.

“Democrats, we should understand that with this president, that with the inability to find common ground, we should probably concentrat­e not on the

long-term, but the short-term solutions that I think we need to provide for humanitari­an reasons, because it is a humanitari­an crisis,” Grijalva said.

Sanctuary cities controvers­y continues

Trump on Friday said the White House is “giving strong considerat­ions” to releasing undocument­ed immigrants in sanctuary cities as a way of punishing Democrats.

“Due to the fact that Democrats are unwilling to change our very dangerous immigratio­n laws, we are indeed, as reported, giving strong considerat­ions to placing Illegal Immigrants in Sanctuary Cities only,” Trump wrote on Twitter. “The Radical Left always seems to have an Open Borders, Open Arms policy – so this should make them very happy!”

Trump’s comments came a day after The Washington Post published a story that his administra­tion wanted to transport detained immigrants to sanctuary cities to retaliate against political adversarie­s, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, whose district includes San Francisco.

The White House backed off the proposals after immigratio­n officials objected, The Post reported, but Trump’s tweet on Friday suggests the proposal is still alive.

Critics say the the proposal would be an illegal use of immigratio­n enforcemen­t resources that would likely be blocked by the courts.

“This is using law-enforcemen­t resources in ways that are unrelated to the law enforcemen­t mission” of Immigratio­n and Customs Enforcemen­t, said David Bier, immigratio­n policy analyst at the Cato Institute, a libertaria­n think tank. “It’s expending taxpayer money to punish partisan opposition rather than to carry out the mission of the agency and that is really what is so objectiona­ble about it.”

‘His people should be focused on solutions’

Even some groups that generally support many of the tough immigratio­n policies Trump has adopted to deter migrants from coming think the proposal to release migrants in sanctuary cities to retaliate against Democrats is a poor idea.

Doing so would place unnecessar­y burdens on everyone who lives in those cities, not just political leaders, said Jessica Vaughan, director of policy studies at the Center for Immigratio­n Studies, a group that supports more immigratio­n enforcemen­t and overall less immigratio­n.

“We shouldn’t be releasing so many migrants into the country to begin with. We should be focused on preventing them from coming here illegally and making frivolous asylum claims,” Vaughan said. “His people should be focused on solutions that will put a stop to this crisis and avoid the need to release people.”

It’s also unnecessar­y to transport migrants to sanctuary cities because many of the migrants coming to the U.S. are likely headed to those cities anyway, she said.

Trump’s proposal to release migrants in sanctuary cities is aimed at scoring political points and not resolving the problem, said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.

“This is a dramatic action that the president is taking to unload the problem on Democrats and to bring to the public’s attention their view that Democrats aren’t serious about solving the immigratio­n problem,” Sabato said.

This sort of political rhetoric, however, makes it more difficult to bring both sides to the table to work on solutions together, said Theresa Brown, a former DHS and Customs and Border Protection official who is now director of immigratio­n and cross-border policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center.

“As an overtly political move, it’s not something that the Department of Homeland Security would ordinarily engage in,” Brown said. “Does it move it move any policies forward? No I don’t think so. It’s political back-and-forthing.”

 ?? GUILLERMO ARIAS/GETTY IMAGES ?? A U.S. Border Patrol helicopter flies over the U.S.-Mexico border fence as President Donald Trump visits Calexico, Calif., as seen from Mexicali, Baja California, Mexico, on April 5.
GUILLERMO ARIAS/GETTY IMAGES A U.S. Border Patrol helicopter flies over the U.S.-Mexico border fence as President Donald Trump visits Calexico, Calif., as seen from Mexicali, Baja California, Mexico, on April 5.
 ?? CEDAR ATTANASIO/AP ?? Migrants wait for food in El Paso, Texas, on March 27 in a pen erected by U.S. Customs and Border Protection to process a surge of migrant families and unaccompan­ied minors. A White House proposal to release migrants in sanctuary cities is an overt political move by President Donald Trump to paint Democrats as doing nothing, analysts say.
CEDAR ATTANASIO/AP Migrants wait for food in El Paso, Texas, on March 27 in a pen erected by U.S. Customs and Border Protection to process a surge of migrant families and unaccompan­ied minors. A White House proposal to release migrants in sanctuary cities is an overt political move by President Donald Trump to paint Democrats as doing nothing, analysts say.

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