The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Hot topics: Rules, statistics and free agency MLB

- By Ronald Blum

The World Series was baseball 2018 in a microcosm.

Half the 44 runs scored by the champion Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers came across the plate on home runs. That’s the second-highest percentage in baseball history, according to the Elias Sports Bureau, behind only last year’s 57.4 percent.

There were 109 strikeouts and 76 hits, a 1.43 ratio that was the second-highest behind 1.48 in 2012. That followed the first regular season in major league history with more strikeouts than hits and with the low- est overall batting aver- age since 1972 — the year before the start of the designated hitter.

Discussion of possible rule changes to increase action will dominate the offseason, along with spec- ulation about a free-agent market that includes Bryce Harper, Manny Machado and Josh Donaldson, and possibly Clayton Kershaw if he opts out of his contract.

“What we try to do is pay attention over the course of the season,” baseball Commission­er Rob Manfred said last week, “think about what we’ve learned during the postseason and see whether we may need to make some change in response to what we’re seeing.”

Analytics have transforme­d the sport, from offense-suffocatin­g shifts to shortening starting pitchers’ time on the mound and constantly rotating reliev- ers from the major leagues to the minors in order to have an array of fresh bullpen arms each game.

“I don’t spend a lot of time worrying about whether analytics are a good thing or a bad thing, and the reason for that is they are a real thing,” Manfred said. “We have them. They’re going to continue to use them. There’s noth- ing you can do to stop people from thinking about the game, however the heck it is they want to think about the game.”

Discussion will start next week, when general managers meet in Carlsbad, Calif. Owners gather Nov. 14-15 in Atlanta, and the major offseason get-together will be the winter meetings at Las Vegas from Dec. 10-13.

Manfred and players’ associa t ion head Tony Clark already have been talking. Both sides are con- cerned about a 4 percent attendance drop that left the major league average below 30,000 for the first time since 2003. Six ball- parks set theirrecor­d lows and 17 of 30 experience­d drops, partly because of historical­ly bad weather that caused 54 postponeme­nts, the most since 1989.

Management wanted to introduce a pitch clock at the major league level in an effort to speed the pace of games but players refused to agree, and Major League Baseball backed off a threat to impose one over the union’s objections. Instead, a more m odest cha n ge restricted the amount of mound visits by players and coaches without pitching changes.

The average time of a nine-inning game dropped to 3 hours, 44 seconds during the regular season from 3:05:11 for last season, and mound visits without pitching changes fell to 4.01 from 7.41.

That was swift compared with October. Nine-inning games averaged 3:30 in the World Series, up from 3:16 last year, and 3:35 throughout the postseason, an increase from 3:29.

And that was with a drop on mound conference­s, which fell to an average of 6.6 in the postseason from 11.2 and to 6.4 in the World Series from 19.0.

Talk on rule changes will be conducted as the union watches free-agent negotiatio­ns unfold. Last offseason had an unusually slow market that led to player anger.Among the 166players who exercised the right to become free agents after the World Series, exactly half of the 140 agreements reached were finalized after the start of spring training workouts on Feb. 14.

Late deals did make a difference: Boston agreed Feb. 19 to a $110 million, five-year contract with J.D. Martinez, who went on the lead the major leagues with 130 RBIs and homered Sunday night as the Red Sox won Game 5 to finish their fourth World Series title in 15 seasons.

The first 145 free agents hit the market Monday and about 30 more may follow this week depending on option decisions. Bidding figures to be morevigoro­us this offseason because of higher quality among the free agents. But analytics have directed many teams to be more reticent about lengthy deals with older players, which could lead to renewed tension.

 ?? TIM WARNER / GETTY IMAGES ?? Indians third baseman Josh Donaldson, who was limited to 52 games this past season because of injury, is expected to draw plenty of interest as a free agent this offseason. The first 145 free agents hit the market Monday and about 30 more may follow this week depending on option decisions.
TIM WARNER / GETTY IMAGES Indians third baseman Josh Donaldson, who was limited to 52 games this past season because of injury, is expected to draw plenty of interest as a free agent this offseason. The first 145 free agents hit the market Monday and about 30 more may follow this week depending on option decisions.
 ??  ?? Dodgers shortstop Manny Machado will be a top target in free agency.
Dodgers shortstop Manny Machado will be a top target in free agency.

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