Blinken arrives in Saudi Arabia to meet Crown Prince Mohammed
Relations strong between 2 allies, but still strained
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived Tuesday in Saudi Arabia on a trip in which he plans to meet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman amid strained relations between Riyadh and Washington.
Blinken’s trip, his second to Saudi Arabia since becoming America’s top diplomat, comes after the kingdom under Prince Mohammed has been more willing to disregard the United States in striking its own decisions. Riyadh has clashed repeatedly with President Biden on its supply of crude oil to global markets, its willingness to partner with Russia in OPEC+, and reaching a détente with Iran mediated by China. Biden also pledged to make Saudi Arabia a “pariah” over the 2018 killing of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi.
However, Saudi Arabia, like other Gulf Arab nations, still relies on the United States to be the security guarantor for the wider Middle East as tensions over Iran’s nuclear program in recent years have spilled over into a series of attacks. Riyadh and Washington also have been working in tandem to try and strike a lasting cease-fire in Sudan, which has been elusive during weeks of fighting between that country’s military and a rival paramilitary force. And Saudi Arabia wants to end its war in Yemen, something also sought by Washington.
“Under the hood, especially when it comes to security and a few other matters like that, the relationship is stronger than it was a year ago,” said Hussein Ibish, a senior resident scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington. “It looks more strained — and in some superficial ways it is — but it is overall stronger.”
Blinken arrived to a Saudi Arabia more eager to engage internationally, particularly after being involved in prisoner swaps in Moscow’s war on Ukraine. The kingdom hosted Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky last month at an Arab League summit, then Russia’s sanctioned interior minister immediately after.
With oil prices well below $100 a barrel, the Biden administration doesn’t have an immediate concern over prices at the pump in the summer driving season. Washington probably does hope to leverage its security relationship with Saudi Arabia as it gets warmer with China and Russia. However, the Saudis are likely to want guarantees that Biden can’t provide when it comes to Congress stopping arms sales to the kingdom, Ibish said.
“Khashoggi still haunts the halls of Congress. I don’t think that’s over in Washington,” Ibish said. “The rest of the world has moved on, but I don’t think that Congress has moved on.”
Asked about Blinken bringing up human rights issues, including Khashoggi's death, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Arabian Peninsula Affairs Daniel Benaim told journalists last week that “human rights are a pillar of how this administration engages with countries around the world and in this region.” He declined to discuss specifics.
Blinken's visit comes after Biden's national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, traveled to Jeddah in May and met Prince Mohammed. The prince also hosted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, a longtime foe of America, for a meeting late Monday, Saudi state television reported.
Outside of meeting Prince Mohammed and other Saudi officials, Blinken also will attend a meeting of an anti-Islamic State summit in Riyadh, as well as attend a meeting of foreign ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council. The six-nation council includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
The Yemen war continues despite prisoner swaps and efforts to end the conflict. Meanwhile, both sides probably have wants that won’t be fulfilled. Saudi Arabia increasingly has pushed for a nuclear cooperation that includes America allowing it to enrich uranium in the kingdom — something that worries nonproliferation experts as spinning centrifuges opens the door to a possible weapons program. Prince Mohammed has said the kingdom would pursue a nuclear weapon if Iran had one.
Blinken first traveled to Saudi Arabia as America's top diplomat last year as part of Biden’s trip there.