Two-team playoff could be greater than eight
The debate over college football’s best team has been settled, the question answered by Clemson’s decisive victory over Alabama on Monday.
But the final score won’t do anything to quell a louder argument roiling the game.
An ever-growing number of fans, coaches and media want the playoffs expanded from four teams to eight. University presidents who oversee the current format have pushed back against the idea.
“It’s way too soon — much too soon — to know if that is even a possibility,” said Mark Keenum, chairman of the College Football Playoff board of managers. “If a decision were to be made down the road, the presidents would be the ones to make it, and we are not there.”
As the four-or-eight debate rages on, there might be a third option: go backward.
Back to two teams. Back to a structure that treats the title game like icing on the cake, a party held after traditional bowls get their time in the spotlight.
There are many millions of dollars wrapped up in the status quo and, as Washington coach Chris Petersen said recently, “Everything comes down to money … right?”
But a closer look at the past few seasons, with the Tigers and Crimson Tide rising above everyone else, suggests the old two-team, Bowl Championship Series wasn’t so awful.
“There’s so much attention on the playoffs, I can see why a lot of people in the media would like to see the playoffs expand,” Alabama coach Nick Saban said. “But there is an expense to that.”
To start, it might be useful to ask if bigger is necessarily better.
This season, the quarterfinals of an eight-team bracket in which the No. 1 seed would play the No. 8 seed, etc., would have included Alabama against Central Florida, which fell to threeloss LSU in the Fiesta Bowl. It would have matched Clemson against a Michigan team that got swamped by three-loss Florida in the Peach Bowl. Are fans eager to see those matchups?
Coaches also worry that long seasons pose a risk to athletes still in their teens.
“Can his body take another two games?” asked recently retired Ohio State coach Urban Meyer. “Do you have to increase it to a 14-game schedule or whatever? Fifteen? Sixteen?”
Downsizing also would address an issue that has changed the nature of the game.
“Look, I think there’s been a unique thing about college football that a lot of people get a lot of positive self-gratification from being able to go to a bowl game,” Saban said.
The Alabama coach was talking about not only the Sugar and the Rose, but also the Holiday and the Las Vegas. The growth of the playoffs in recent years has served, he said, “to minimize the importance of those games. Maybe to the point where those games won’t even exist.”
This was a fairly dismal postseason, marked by too many blowouts and too many games in which there was hardly any scoring. The juxtaposition of the playoffs did not help.
The semifinals drew lower television ratings partly because the schedule forced them to Dec. 29 instead of New Year’s Day. The big bowls — the Rose, Fiesta and Sugar — languished in their wake. The same thing will happen next season.
And the growing list of players who skipped the postseason altogether, choosing to prepare themselves for the NFL draft, suggests the system is losing appeal.
With a two-team bracket, CFP voters could still issue weekly rankings, providing fodder for the debate that adds spice late in the regular season. Championship contenders could be determined and discussed ad nauseam through early December, leaving the bowls room to breathe.
The title game could, once again, rotate among the major bowls. That would bring the game back to Pasadena, where the Tournament of Roses has decided to not bid for the championship.
A slimmed-down format certainly has drawbacks. Twice in the CFP’S first five years, a No. 4 team has risen to win the title. There have been bitter arguments about teams left out of the bracket.
Maybe that explains Petersen’s stance: “I think most want (the playoffs) expanded. I mean, I think that would be really cool for college football,” he said.
But, more often than not, the No. 1 and No. 2 teams have reached the final. And in an equation that has no absolute answer — fans still argue over the NCAA basketball tournament’s 68-team field — the sacrifice might be worthwhile if it can revive the magic of the bowl season.
At least Saban seems to think so. Though his team was a fourth-seeded champion last season, he recently said: “I was opposed to going from two teams to four teams.”