The Commercial Appeal

Economics Nobel given for wage, job research

3 Us-based scholars share prestigiou­s prize

- Christophe­r Rugaber, David Mchugh and David Keyton

STOCKHOLM – A U.s.-based economist won the Nobel prize in economics Monday for pioneering research that transforme­d widely held ideas about the labor force, showing how an increase in the minimum wage doesn’t hinder hiring and immigrants do not lower pay for native-born workers. Two others shared the award for creating a way to study these types of societal issues.

Canadian-born David Card of the University of California, Berkeley, was awarded half of the prize for his research on how the minimum wage, immigratio­n and education affect the labor market.

The other half was shared by Joshua Angrist from the Massachuse­tts Institute of Technology and Dutch-born Guido Imbens from Stanford University for their framework for studying issues that can’t rely on traditiona­l scientific methods.

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said the three have “completely reshaped empirical work in the economic sciences.”

Together, the three helped rapidly expand the use of “natural experiment­s,” or studies based on the observatio­n of real-world data. Such research made economics more applicable to everyday life, provided policymake­rs with actual evidence on the outcomes of policies, and in time spawned a more popular approach to economics epitomized by the blockbuste­r

bestseller “Freakonomi­cs,” by Stephen Dubner and Steven Levitt.

In a study published in 1993, Card looked at what happened to jobs at fastfood restaurant­s Burger King, KFC, Wendy’s and Roy Rogers when New Jersey raised its minimum wage from $4.25 to $5.05, using restaurant­s in bordering eastern Pennsylvan­ia as the control – or comparison – group.

Contrary to previous studies, he and his late research partner Alan Krueger found that an increase in the minimum wage had no effect on the number of employees.

Card’s minimum wage research fundamenta­lly altered economists’ views of such policies. As noted by the Economist magazine, in 1992 a survey of the American Economic Associatio­n’s members found that 79% agreed that a minimum wage law increased unemployme­nt

among younger and lowerskill­ed workers. Those views were largely based on traditiona­l economic notions of supply and demand: If you raise the price of something, you get less of it.

By 2000, however, just 46% of the AEA’S members said minimum wage laws increase unemployme­nt, largely because of Card and Krueger’s research.

Their findings sparked interest in further research into why a higher minimum wouldn’t reduce employment.

Imbens and Angrist, figured out ways to isolate the effects of things like an extra year of school. Their methods enabled researcher­s to draw much clearer conclusion­s about cause and effect, even if they are unable to control who gets things like extra education, the way scientists in a lab can control their experiment­s.

 ?? CLAUDIO BRESCIANI/AP ?? Winners, from left, David Card, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens are seen in a display Monday at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
CLAUDIO BRESCIANI/AP Winners, from left, David Card, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens are seen in a display Monday at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.

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