The Community Connection

Blue gets more blue, and red becomes more red in Pa.

- Lowman S. Henry

On the surface it would appear the power dynamic in Pennsylvan­ia state government changed little as a result of the Nov. 6 General Election. Gov. Tom Wolf was reelected and Republican­s retained solid control of both the state House and the state Senate.

Back from where we started?

Not quite. The 2018 election cycle saw the continuati­on of two trends: the drift of Democrats into the arms of the socialist Left, and a Republican power shift from the Philadelph­ia suburbs to the more conservati­ve central and western parts of the state.

Gov. Wolf has often (and for good reason) been labeled the most liberal governor in America.

To the degree that lieutenant governors matter, the state’s new second banana will push him even further in that direction. Lt. Gov.-elect John Fetterman is a Bernie Sanders-style socialist. He replaces the hapless Mike Stack, a Philadelph­ia pol more interested in the power dynamics of politics than ideology.

If there was a “blue wave” this election year it crashed ashore in suburban Philadelph­ia counties.

The numbers could change a bit as the official count progresses, but Republican­s lost 13 state House seats and four state Senate seats in that region. It is rare for more than three or four incumbents to lose statewide in a given election cycle, so the GOP wipeout in southeaste­rn Pennsylvan­ia can rightly be described as a blue tidal wave.

Continuing the westward shift of the statewide GOP, Republican­s partially offset their losses in the southeast by flipping three Democrat seats, one in Bucks County and two elsewhere in the state. Republican­s held historical­ly high majorities in both state legislativ­e chambers.

Thus the losses left them in solid control, but with margins closer to the historical average.

What the election did do was to shift the ideologica­l center of both the House and Senate Republican caucuses away from southeaste­rn liberalism into the mainstream conservati­sm that is popular in the balance of the state.

While legislativ­e Democrats voted in lockstep with their leadership, Republican legislativ­e leaders had the more difficult task of moving conservati­ve policies advocated by their caucus majority, while trying to appease their southeaste­rn members. The goal was to hold onto those southeaste­rn seats — it didn’t work.

The end result is absent the need to protect its members from suburban Philadelph­ia because — well, they are no longer there — legislativ­e Republican­s are now free to stand firmly against the socialist policies Gov. Wolf and Democrats are sure to pursue.

This means Pennsylvan­ia’s divided state government has become even more divided. The first battle will come in a matter of weeks when Governor Tom Wolf proposes his next state budget.

It is sure to be chock full of tax hikes and new spending. Republican­s effectivel­y blocked the more radical elements of his agenda during the governor’s first term. A more conservati­ve majority should be able to do so in the years ahead.

Thus have voters across Pennsylvan­ia put into effect all the elements needed for epic policy and budget battles which are likely to end in gridlock.

Given the fact that most legislatio­n that actually passes expands the dependency state at the expense of taxpayers gridlock may be the best outcome.

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