The Day

Retail sales miss forecast in August

- By LORRAINE WOELLERT

Washington— Retail sales rose less than forecast in August as the biggest part of the economy struggled to gain momentum.

The 0.2 percent increase was the smallest in four months and followed a revised 0.4 percent July gain that was bigger than previously estimated, the Commerce Department reported Friday in Washington. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.5 percent advance. Sales excluding motor vehicles rose 0.1 percent.

Higher payroll taxes, limited job gains and restrained income growth are discouragi­ng consumers, whose spending accounts for about 70 percent of the economy. Friday’s report is one of the last pieces of data before next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, at which policy makers will consider whether to dial back record monetary stimulus.

“The consumer continues to tag along slowly but surely,” said Eugenio Aleman, a senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities in Charlotte, N.C. Wells Fargo economists are the top forecaster­s of retail sales in the last two years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “We have to see better job growth, better income growth.”

Estimates of the 85 economists in the Bloomberg survey ranged from gains of 0.2 percent to 0.9 percent after a previously reported 0.2 percent increase in July.

Eight of 13 major categories showed increased sales last month, led by auto dealership­s, electronic­s outlets and furniture stores. Purchases of building materials, clothing and sporting goods fell.

The gain in retail sales excluding autos followed a 0.6 percent rise in July, today’s report showed. They were projected to increase 0.3 percent last month, according to the Bloomberg survey median.

Automobile dealer receipts climbed 0.9 percent after a 0.5 percent drop the prior month.

Cars and light trucks continue to be a bright spot in the economy, selling in August at the fastest annualized rate since November 2007, according to data from Ward’s Automotive Group. Sales at General Motors, Ford, Toyota and Honda all exceeded analysts’ estimates.

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