The Day

Study says black counties are hit harder.

About 50% of cases,60% of deaths occur in disproport­ionately African American areas,virus study says

- By VANESSA WILLIAMS

Black people make up a disproport­ionate share of the population in 22% of U.S. counties, and those localities account for more than half of coronaviru­s cases and nearly 60% of deaths, a national study by an AIDS research group found.

The study also found that socioecono­mic factors such as employment status and access to health care were better predictors of infection and death rates than underlying health conditions.

Gregorio Millett, vice president of Amfar, the Foundation for Aids Research, said the findings suggest that black people will be more vulnerable to the pandemic as states begin to reopen businesses and public spaces.

“It’s clear that there’s a disproport­ionate impact of COVID-19 diagnoses and deaths among African Americans,”

Millett said, adding that the authors of the study released it early in the hope of influencin­g policy decisions about reopening businesses. “All of my colleagues fear that with these policies to open up communitie­s, that the brunt of the COVID-19 epidemic is not going to be borne equally on all communitie­s, that we will likely see greater COVID-19 deaths as well as cases in African American communitie­s.”

Millett said researcher­s plan to track disproport­ionately black counties in four states — Georgia, Texas, Alabama and South Carolina — to see what effect loosening social distancing and sheltering requiremen­ts will have on COVID-19 cases and deaths.

Researcher­s at Amfar and the Rollins School of Public Health at Emory University in Georgia led the study team, which included investigat­ors from Johns Hopkins, the University of Mississipp­i, Georgetown University and the nonprofit PATH.

The study adds to a growing body of data that has shown that black people have been infected and killed at disproport­ionate rates by the novel coronaviru­s. It also raises concern, as have other studies and analyses, about gaps in data collected and reported by county, state and federal officials about the race and ethnicity of virus sufferers, including testing, cases, hospitaliz­ations and deaths.

The Amfar study, based on data collected April 13, focused on counties in which black people made up more than 13% of the population. Disproport­ionately black counties account for 22% of all U.S. counties but have been home to 52% of coronaviru­s cases and 58% of deaths from COVID-19, the disease the virus causes.

Almost all disproport­ionately black counties have had at least one person diagnosed with the coronaviru­s, compared with 80% of other counties, and nearly half of counties with large black population­s, 49%, have had at least one person die of COVID-19, the study found. The higher diagnoses were found in disproport­ionately black counties in urban, small metro and rural areas. Smaller metro areas and rural communitie­s saw higher death rates.

Although public health experts and political leaders have attributed the high rate of serious illness and deaths from COVID-19 among black Americans to underlying health conditions, such as heart disease and diabetes, the Amfar study found that those factors were not the primary cause of the disparitie­s. Rather, other social determinan­ts, including employment, access to health insurance and medical care and poor air and water quality, were more predictive of infection and death from COVID-19.

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