Trump expecting a super Tuesday
Former president looks to sweep all 15 states,knock Haley out of GOP race
Donald Trump is poised to continue his march to the GOP presidential nomination today, when 15 states will vote to award more than a third of the party’s delegates and test how quickly Republicans are coalescing behind the former president.
Trump has decisively won all but one contest so far and is expected to make a clean sweep of “Super Tuesday,” a normally high-stakes moment in the primary calendar that the former president’s dominance has stripped of its suspense. But despite Trump’s near-incumbent status in the race, a significant, if losing, percentage of voters has opted for another candidate in several contests — underscoring some voters’ reservations and the potential general election challenges ahead. His last standing GOP challenger, Nikki Haley, has pointed to this trend as she has made a case for continuing her campaign.
In many ways, a rematch between President Joe Biden and Trump is effectively underway, and observers and strategists expressed mixed views of what the margins in the GOP contests portend for Trump in November. The incumbent and his allies are ramping up criticism of Trump as a threat to democracy, abortion rights and other freedoms, while the ex-president has hammered Biden over immigration and the economy. Trump’s 91 criminal charges, which he has used as rallying cry in the primary, are also expected to factor into the fall campaign.
Trump’s team expects to lock down the nomination by March 19, advisers said. Haley, the former U.N. ambassador, has only committed to staying in the race through today, setting the stage for a potentially quick exit.
Recent polling shows that more than 90 percent of registered Republicans back Trump over Biden, who is struggling with low enthusiasm on the Democratic side and cracks in the coalition that delivered him a narrow victory in 2020.
At the same time, the primaries have demonstrated Haley’s appeal to independents and college-educated voters as she lays out a forceful argument against Trump. Super Tuesday will provide more snapshots of who is in Trump’s camp and who may need persuading in the months ahead.
“The next chapter of this race will be about how Trump treats Nikki Haley and her supporters,” said veteran Republican strategist Scott Reed. “He’s on track to be able to unite the party,” Reed added, “but he has to treat the Haley voters with respect.”
The biggest prize up for grabs on today is California, where Trump has a good shot to take home all 169 delegates by winning more than 50 percent of the vote. The delegates formalize the pick by voting for their candidate at the Republican National Convention in July.
California Republicans used to award delegates to the victor of each congressional district, but Trump allies successfully pushed last year to adopt new rules they believed would help Trump quickly amass the 1,215 delegates he needs nationally to secure the nomination. Many Super Tuesday states have winner-take-all provisions, but the details vary.
The states that vote today account for some 874 delegates and will test Trump and Haley’s strengths across very different electorates — from red stronghold Texas to battleground North Carolina to solid-blue Massachusetts, where the Republican population is more moderate. Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia and the territory of American Samoa will also vote. On Monday, North Dakota will hold its Republican caucuses.
The Trump team says he could win the nomination as early as March 12 and will get there by March 19 even under their most generous modeling for Haley, which is based on her best showing so far, in New Hampshire. On Saturday, Trump swept GOP caucuses in Michigan, Missouri and Idaho.
“Republican voters have delivered resounding wins for President Trump in every single primary contest and this race is over,” said campaign spokesman Steven Cheung. “Our focus is now on Joe Biden and the general election.”
Holding a rally on Saturday in Raleigh, N.C., before blitzing Massachusetts, Vermont and Maine, Haley continued her sharp criticism of Trump before an enthusiastic crowd. She said his comments about Russia showed he was “willing to side with a thug” and lamented that it’s “not normal” to call opponents “vermin,” as Trump has.
Trump directed most of his fire on Biden at his own North Carolina rally this weekend and focused on the southern border, which attendees repeatedly named as their top concern. He was not done with Haley, however, declaring her “bad news” and “very average.”
One attendee, 67-year-old John Wayne Lambeth from Winston-Salem, said Haley should drop out and tell her followers, “I am behind Trump 100 percent.” Another, 64-year-old Ben Hamilton from Lexington, suggested Haley was trying to “be a spoiler.”
But Hamilton also said he wanted to hear how Trump would “join the Republicans together.”
Haley has stayed in the race as a vessel for dissatisfaction with a Trump-Biden matchup, arguing that more voters deserve an opportunity to support a GOP alternative. She won 43 percent of the vote in New Hampshire and 40 percent in her home state of South Carolina, and pointed to those performances as evidence of broad hesitations about Trump, even as he leads with almost every demographic in the GOP.
In South Carolina, where Haley served as governor, she had the strongest support in more urban, educated and affluent areas, though Trump still led in the suburbs. In statewide exit polls, she led by nearly 10 points with college graduates and 25 points with independents. Her team has argued that Super Tuesday states with similarly open primaries — where non-Republicans can vote — offer more favorable terrain.