Outrage over warrant for Netanyahu appears to rally Israelis
If the headlines in Israel were anything to go by, the request by the International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor for an arrest warrant against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu seemed to have granted the Israeli leader one of the most fortuitous turnarounds in his long and turbulent political career.
“The Hypocrisy of The Hague,” blared Tuesday’s front page of Yediot Ahronot, a popular mainstream daily that has often been critical of Netanyahu.
Echoing the outrage expressed by Israelis across the political spectrum, and abandoning any semblance of impartiality, the front page denounced “the intolerable gall” of the chief prosecutor, Karim Khan, for what it described as putting Israel alongside the leaders of Hamas who “seek to annihilate it.”
The threat of arrest warrants comes against Netanyahu and his defense minister, Yoav Gallant, as well as three leaders of
Hamas, on charges of war crimes from the devastating Hamas-led attack on Israel on Oct. 7 and Israel’s punishing retaliatory campaign in the Gaza Strip.
It appeared to broadly galvanize Netanyahu’s opposition in his favor. Political rivals in Israel offered support. U.S. officials, who had been critical of his plan to invade Rafah, roundly condemned the court’s action.
In the hours and days before, Netanyahu had appeared embattled, both domestically and internationally. The Israeli public had become increasingly frustrated with the government’s failure, over seven months, to achieve its stated war goals of eliminating Hamas and bringing home the 128 hostages who remain in Gaza, alive and dead. Netanyahu’s emergency war Cabinet was on the brink of falling apart.
Two key war Cabinet members, Gallant and Benny Gantz, a former military chief, had publicly excoriated Netanyahu in recent days for failing to develop a plan for governing postwar Gaza. Gantz had even issued an ultimatum, saying his centrist party would quit the government if Netanyahu did not come up with a clear strategy by June 8.
Israel has also been facing significant pressure to end its offensive from the United States, its most important ally. And as Israel’s parliament reconvened Monday after spring recess, it became the focus of resurgent anti-government protests reminiscent of those that rocked the country for months before the war.
But Netanyahu, a renowned political phoenix, may have been given a political lifeline and a new boost of popular support, though some analysts say the effect may be shortlived.
“For now, it strengthens Netanyahu,” said Ben Caspit, a biographer and longtime critic of the prime minister and a columnist for Al-Monitor, a Middle East news site. “He is happiest in the role of the persecuted victim,” Caspit said of Netanyahu, adding that the international court’s opprobrium was likely to bring supporters who had grown sick of the conservative leader back into the fold.
Caspit said the chief prosecutor had, in Israel’s view, scored an “own goal” by creating an impression of equivalence between the leaders of Hamas, which is designated as a terrorist group by much of the West, and Netanyahu and Gallant, who would be the first leaders of a democratic country to be indicted by the court.
That perceived affront has rallied Israelis and some of Israel’s foreign allies in a way that even Hamas had failed to do in recent months. About 1,200 people were killed in the Oct. 7 assault, Israel says, making it the deadliest single day for Jews since the Holocaust. More than 35,000 Palestinians have been killed, according to the Gaza health ministry, in the ensuing war.
Netanyahu’s political rivals from within the government and the opposition have formed a united front against the court.
In a statement Tuesday, Gallant described “the parallel” Khan had drawn between Hamas and the state of Israel as “despicable.” And Gallant was likely reevaluating his options, according to experts.
The court process places
Gallant, Netanyahu’s inparty rival, “in the same boat,” said Yonatan Touval, a senior analyst at Mitvim, an Israeli foreignpolicy research institute, adding, “Gantz will be hard pressed to leave the government.”
Anticipating criticism about creating equivalency, Khan spoke of the need to apply the law equally to all sides in a conflict. “If it is seen as being applied selectively, we will be creating the conditions for its collapse,” he said.
At this stage, Netanyahu and Gantz primarily stand accused of using starvation as a weapon of war. Aid organizations and experts have attributed the hunger crisis in Gaza and a looming threat of famine to Israeli military restrictions on supplies entering the coastal enclave, as well as its strikes on aid workers.
For Netanyahu, the International Criminal Court is “the best opponent he could ask for in order to galvanize support,” said Mitchell Barak, an Israeli pollster and analyst who worked as an aide to Netanyahu in the 1990s. Many Israelis already viewed the ICC as hostile toward Israel, Barak said, and the fact that it did not attempt to adjudicate the role of Hamas until now, he said, added to Israeli antipathy toward the court.