The Guardian (USA)

Australia to acquire long-range missiles as PM warns of dangerous post-Covid-19 world

- Daniel Hurst

Australia’s defence force is set to acquire long-range missiles and research hypersonic weapons systems, as Scott Morrison warns the country to prepare for a more dangerous post-Covid-19 world and an increasing­ly contested Indo-Pacific region.

The Australian prime minister will use a speech on Wednesday to outline a more muscular defence posture, arguing the ADF needs “stronger deterrence capabiliti­es” as the Indo-Pacific becomes “the focus of the dominant global contest of our age” amid tensions between China and the United States.

Morrison will reveal a pledge to spend $270bn on new and upgraded defence capabiliti­es over the next decade – a substantia­l increase from the $195bn committed in the 10 years from 2016 when the last defence white paper was released, although it covers a later time period.

As part of this spending, the government is expected to commit on Wednesday to purchasing anti-ship cruise missiles from the US navy.

The system, known as the AGM-158C Long Range Anti-Ship Missile, has a range of more than 370km and will initially be used on F/A-18F Super Hornet aircraft, but may also be integrated onto other defence aircraft.

This purchase is expected to cost about $800m, with training on the weapon system set to begin next year, but the number of missiles has not been disclosed. It is an upgrade from Australia’s existing anti-ship missiles, introduced in the 1980s, which have a range of 124km.

The government is expected to also look at acquiring other missiles that could cover thousands of kilometres – but those specifics have not yet been locked in.

It is understood that in addition to new long-range anti-ship and landstrike weapons, Australia will also commit funds to the developmen­t, test and evaluation of high-speed longrange weapons, including hypersonic weapons.

These are a type of high-speed weapon more likely to withstand modern ballistic missile defence systems.

In a speech in Canberra on Wednesday morning, Morrison will argue the ADF needs stronger capabiliti­es “that can hold potential adversarie­s’ forces and critical infrastruc­ture at risk from a distance, thereby deterring an attack on Australia and helping to prevent war”. The move is intended to increase the “costs involved in threatenin­g Australian interests”.

“Australia will invest in longer range strike weapons, cyber capabiliti­es and area denial,” he will say, according to prepared remarks distribute­d to media in advance.

“We are expanding our plans to acquire long-range maritime and land strike capabiliti­es, and to invest in more highly integrated sensors and weapons.”

He will also pledge to spend $7bn on space capabiliti­es over the coming decade, including a network of satellites so Australia has an independen­t communicat­ions network.

The government is also expected to earmark $15bn over the next decade for informatio­n and cyber-related initiative­s – such as bolstering Australia’s offensive and defensive cyber capabiliti­es. This will also cover enhanced “electronic warfare” and boosting intelligen­ce, surveillan­ce and reconnaiss­ance systems.

The new details come a day after Morrison committed to create 500 new jobs within the Australian Signals Directorat­e to tackle cyber threats.

The government has spent weeks laying the groundwork for the increased focus on cyber defences, including the 19 June press conference where Morrison said a wide range of Australian organisati­ons were “currently being targeted by a sophistica­ted state-based cyber actor” – which the government did not name but was widely interprete­d to be China.

The moves come at a time when diplomatic and trade tensions between Australia and its largest trading partner – China – are increasing.

Morrison will use the speech on Wednesday to say that as Australia stares down the Covid-19 pandemic at home, the country needs to “prepare for a post-Covid world that is poorer, more dangerous and more disorderly”.

Australia, he says, must “face the reality that we have moved into a new and less benign strategic era”.

Warning that the institutio­ns and patterns of cooperatio­n that have benefited Australia’s prosperity and security for decades are under increasing strain, Morrison will say the Indo-Pacific is “the epicentre of rising strategic competitio­n”.

“Our region will not only shape our future – increasing­ly it is the focus of the dominant global contest of our age,” he says.

In a reference to China, Morrison will say: “Tensions over territoria­l claims are rising across the Indo-Pacific region – as we have seen recently on the disputed border between India and China, in the South China Sea, and in the East China Sea.

“The risk of miscalcula­tion – and even conflict – is heightenin­g.”

Morrison will say disinforma­tion and foreign interferen­ce have been enabled by new and emerging technologi­es, terrorism remains a tenacious threat, and state sovereignt­y and rules and norms are under pressure.

Describing relations between China and the US as “fractious” as they compete for political, economic and technologi­cal supremacy, Morrison argues Australia, Japan, India, South Korea, southeast Asian countries and Pacific nations all have “choices to make and parts to play” in shaping the region.

Despite acknowledg­ing “many pressures on the commonweal­th budget”, Morrison will affirm the government’s commitment “to properly funding defence with the certainty of a new 10year funding model that goes beyond our achievemen­t of reaching 2% of GDP this year”.

The government will direct the ADF to prioritise its geographic­al focus on Australia’s immediate region – the area ranging from the north-east Indian Ocean, through maritime and mainland south-east Asia to Papua New Guinea and the south-west Pacific.

The government has also set three new strategic objectives for defence planning: to shape Australia’s strategic environmen­t; to deter actions against Australia’s interests; and “to respond with credible military force, when required”.

Morrison will say Australia remains prepared to make military contributi­ons outside of the immediate region where it was in Australia’s national interest to do so, including in support of US-led coalitions – but should remain primarily focused on the region.

 ?? Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP ?? Scott Morrison says Australia will need ‘stronger deterrence capabiliti­es’ as the Indo-Pacific becomes ‘the focus of the dominant global contest of our age’.
Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP Scott Morrison says Australia will need ‘stronger deterrence capabiliti­es’ as the Indo-Pacific becomes ‘the focus of the dominant global contest of our age’.

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