The Independent (USA)

So about the debt ceiling: You should care about it. Just not for the same reason as the Senate Republican­s.

- By Merritt Hamilton Allen

This week’s Capitol Hill summary: The Republican caucus is going to force the Democrats to own the debt ceiling increase as well as the infrastruc­ture package and the fiscal year 2022 budget. The idea is that Biden’s big spending agenda will have to be passed by Democrats only and the fiscally responsibl­e Republican­s will preach to the folks at home that inflation and economic woes are looming and pull out major wins at midterms for their restraint and good sense.

Thing is, fiscally conservati­ve congressio­nal Republican­s are in short supply. I hate to say it, but federal spending grew to its highest level ever during the Trump administra­tion, with full support of the GOP caucus. And that wasn’t a new trend. Republican­s have been voting for bigger budgets since the 1980s, right with their Democratic colleagues.

The debt ceiling is another matter. Raising the debt ceiling isn’t increasing the national debt precisely. Nor is it increasing spending. The matter is about permitting the Treasury to raise more funds to service our current debt; that is, to cover spending that has already taken place. The national debt has already grown. It grew under the Trump administra­tion before the pandemic, with a combinatio­n of lower taxes and increased spending. It grew during the pandemic with the first stimulus.

Congress voted in 2019 to increase the debt ceiling. After the 2020 election the debt grew again with the second stimulus, passed by Congress just before Christmas. The two monster spending bills that President Biden is trying to pass have nothing to do with our current debt situation. Thursday, Republican­s agreed to raise the debt ceiling temporaril­y—just through December—to stave off a default on our debt which would occur around Oct. 18.

Essentiall­y, Congress can do the following regarding the debt ceiling: vote to raise it; vote to not raise it or default on our debt; or vote to eliminate the requiremen­t for a debt ceiling altogether which would give the Treasury more flexibilit­y. Every time the country has hit the ceiling in the past, Congress has chosen the first option. Defaulting would place our economy in a serious recession and destabiliz­e global markets. Eliminatin­g the ceiling altogether is the other nuclear option threatened from the Democratic side of the aisle.

In previous debt ceiling battles, congressio­nal Republican­s took some sort of stance regarding the budget when negotiatin­g for an increase. In 2011, the debate resulted in the Budget Control Act, which created automatic discretion­ary budget limits, also known as the sequester.

(The BCA should have cut $1 trillion in government spending. Of course it didn’t, as President Obama and Congress simply raised discretion­ary spending caps in 2013 and 2015, and when those higher caps expired in 2018, President Trump and Congress raised them higher still, and again in 2019. The sequester expired this year. Hooray! said Congress and the White House.)

This year’s debt ceiling debate has no origin in fiscal restraint. Senate Majority Leader Mitch Mcconnell simply wishes to force a simple majority vote through the budget reconcilia­tion process so that only Democrats will be voting to increase it permanentl­y. He and the GOP caucus also wish for only Democrats to be voting on the two large spending bills on the table, counting on fiscal restraint among voters helping to push seats into the red zone in 2022.

Should Mcconnell be playing this correctly, and the GOP picks up the House or the Senate in 2022, the caucus will face an interestin­g dilemma. The debt ceiling will need to be raised again in 2023. What if the Democrats pull the same stunt then, forcing Republican­s to be the only ones to vote to raise the debt ceiling? One thing I do know for sure: Republican­s aren’t shy about fiscal liberalism when they’re in the majority.

Merritt Hamilton Allen is a PR executive and former Navy officer. She appears regularly as a panelist on NM PBS and is a frequent guest on News Radio KKOB. She lives amicably with her Democratic husband and Republican mother north of I-40 where they run two head of dog, and two of cat. She can be reached at news.ind.merritt@gmail.com.

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