The Mercury News Weekend

Midterm optics not swaying voters the way Dems hoped

- 2018 ELECTIONS By Victor Davis Hanson Victor Davis Hanson is a syndicated columnist.

For progressiv­es, the looming midterm elections apparently shouldn’t hinge on a booming economy, a nearrecord-low unemployme­nt rate, a strong stock market and unpreceden­ted energy production, but instead on race and gender issues.

The media is fixated on another caravan of foreign nationals flowing toward the United States from Central America. More than 5,000 mostly Honduran migrants say they will cross through Mexico. Then they plan to crash the American border, enter the U.S. illegally, claim refugee status and demand asylum.

This gambit appears mysterious­ly timed to arrive right before the U.S. midterms — apparently to sway voters toward progressiv­e candidates supporting a more relaxed immigratio­n policy.

Progressiv­es assume that if bordersecu­rity officials detain the intruders and separate parents who broke the law from their children, it will make Republican candidates appear coldhearte­d.

Earlier this year, a similar border melodrama became sensationa­lized in the media and almost certainly dropped Trump’s approval ratings. But this time, the optics may be different.

The new caravan appears strangely well organized. The marchers, many of them young men, don’t appear destitute. They don’t seemto fit the profile of desperate refugees whose lives were in immediate danger in their homeland.

Most Americans realize that if an organized caravan of foreigners can simply announce in advance plans to crash into the U.S. illegally, then the concepts of a border, citizenshi­p, sovereignt­y or even a country itself no longer exist.

Other events also may have the opposite of the intended effect on voters.

The Supreme Court nomination hearings for Brett Kavanaugh ended up as scripted melodrama. Protesters disrupted the Senate on cue. Democratic senators staged a walkout. They interrupte­d the proceeding­s.

Their collective aim was to show America that male Republican senators were insensitiv­e to the feelings and charges of Christine Blasey Ford, and therefore callous and sexist.

Ford had alleged that Kavanaugh 36 years earlier had sexually assaulted her at a party when they were both teenagers. But she produced no corroborat­ing testimony, physical evidence or other witnesses.

To find Kavanaugh guilty of Ford’s charges, Americans were asked to suspend the very ideas of due process and Western jurisprude­nce.

The furious demonstrat­ions that followed Kavanaugh’s confirmati­on only made the optics worse.

Republican senators were confronted at their offices and on elevators. Protesters broke through police cordons and beat and scratched at the Supreme Court doors, apparently in vain efforts to break in and disrupt the swearing-in ceremonies.

Liberal icons such as Hillary Clinton, former Attorney General Eric Holder and Sen. Cory Booker seemed to encourage the incivility and disruption­s.

Did the ongoing chaos work to change public opinion in their direction? Perhaps not. Most Americans don’t want frenzied shriekers scratching at doors on Capitol Hill. They are turned off by shouters popping up in Senate galleries. Few are comfortabl­e with efforts to bully or intimidate senators rather than to persuade them.

On the eve of the midterms, progressiv­es believe that these public spectacles showcasing feminist, immigrant and identity issues trump the booming economy and might galvanize independen­ts and fence-sitters to vote for liberal candidates.

Yet the caravan and the Kavanaugh hearings remind voters of the very opposite.

Every country requires a border and the rule of law. Due process cannot so easily be thrown out in a moment. There can be no Senate without safety and calm inside its halls. Powerful, privileged Washington officials should be the last to game a systemdesi­gned to help the underprivi­leged.

Americans know all that. Strangely, progressiv­e activists don’t.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States