The Mercury News

Defense Contractor­s: Always Ready for More

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The weekly quiz is provided by the Globalist, a daily online feature service that covers issues and trends in globalizat­ion. The nonpartisa­n organizati­on provides commercial services and nonprofit educationa­l features.

QUESTION

Even though President Donald Trump has proposed severe cutbacks for the U.S. government, he plans to further expand the size of and spending on the U.S. military. He has also called on NATO allies to do the same. That could translate into big sales for U.S. defense manufactur­ers. We wonder: What percentage of global arms sales generated by the top 100 defense companies is accounted for by U.S. firms?

A. 22 percent is not correct.

The United States pays for 22% of the cost of NATO as an institutio­n. This includes the directly shared NATO programs, staff, headquarte­rs, facilities and budgets. In 2017, NATO’s civil budget is $252.3 million and its shared military budget amounts to $1.4 billion. The U.S. share, as for all member countries, is a proportion­al share based on the size of the country’s gross national income. Among NATO members, Germany pays the next-largest share under this formula, at 15%, followed by France (11%), the U.K. (10%) and Italy (8%). The vast majority of military spending by NATO member countries occurs via their own national defense budgets, rather than shared NATO budgets. President Donald Trump has created the impression, or erroneousl­y seems to believe, that all nations pay their entire respective defense budgets into NATO. Therefore, he has talked about the United States being “ripped off” and that “Germany owes vast sums of money to NATO.”

B. 36 percent is not correct.

The United States accounted for about 36% of all arms exports worldwide in 2015, from among the 48 countries that sold arms abroad that year. In absolute numbers, U.S. firms exported $10.2 billion in major arms and defensive systems in 2015, according to the Stockholm Internatio­nal Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). As it happens, 36% is also the U.S. share of all global defense spending of any kind by every country as of 2015. The U.S. is the largest spender by far. In the global arms sales market, the other leading nations are Russia (accounting for a 20% share), France (7%), Germany (6%) and China (6%). Also relevant are Spain (4%), and the United Kingdom. In regards to global arms imports, the U.S. accounts for less than 2%, since it generally produces its own major arms. The five largest arms-importing countries in 2015 were Saudi Arabia (12%), India (10%), Australia (5%), Egypt (5%) and Iraq (5%).

C. 57 percent is correct.

Among the top 100 arms-producing and military services firms, there are 39 U.S. companies, according to SIPRI. However, if one accounts for the actual sales volumes, U.S. firms provide 57% of the military sales of the world’s top 100 firms. The largest U.S. firms are Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, United Technologi­es and L-3 Communicat­ions. SIPRI does not include any Chinese defense manufactur­ers in its reports due to lack of reliable public data on them. The institute estimates some of them likely rival the size of the companies ranked in the top 10.

D. 72 percent is not correct.

If all defense spending by all NATO countries, inside or outside of official NATO costs or operations, is tallied up, the United States spends 72% of that combined amount. This total measure of the share of defense spending by member countries also includes expenditur­es that go beyond NATO projects. It notably includes the many nonNATO operations that are undertaken independen­t of the organizati­on. A few examples include French and U.S. operations in West Africa or Turkey’s military activities in Syria and Cyprus. This cumulative 72% U.S. share of all defense spending by NATO countries is probably what President Donald Trump had in mind, when he incorrectl­y talked about the United States providing “the lion’s share” of the alliance’s budget. More than half of all nonU.S. defense expenditur­es by countries within the alliance come from just three other countries: France, Germany and the United Kingdom.

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