The Mercury News

Under 1% of employees test positive for virus antibodies

- By Ronald Blum

NEW YORK » Just 0.7% of Major League Baseball employees tested positive for antibodies to COVID-19, the illness caused by the new coronaviru­s.

The small number of positive tests, announced Sunday, was taken as positive news by a sport pushing ahead with plans to start its delayed season. MLB employees have been able to protect themselves from infection, but this means almost all remain susceptibl­e to the virus.

Researcher­s received 6,237 completed surveys from employees of 26 clubs. That led to 5,754 samples obtained in the U.S. on April 14 and 15 and 5,603 records that were used. The survey kit had a 0.5% false positive rate.

Dr. Jay Bhattachar­ya of Stanford, one of the study’s leaders, said the prevalence of the antibodies among MLB employees was lower than for the general population during testing in New York, Los Angeles, the San Francisco area and Miami.

“I was expecting a little bit of a higher number,” Bhattachar­ya said during a telephone news conference. “The set of people in the

MLB employee population that we tested in some sense have been less affected by the COVID epidemic than their surroundin­g communitie­s.”

Data for players was not separated in the study, and some MLB family members were included.

Spring training was stopped March 12 and opening day was pushed back from March 26 because of the pandemic. MLB intends to give the players’ associatio­n a presentati­on this week for a possible start to the season, and has said frequent testing would be necessary.

Antibodies are produced by a person’s immune system if they have been infected by a virus. These tests are different than the polymerise chain reaction (PCR) tests used to detect active infection.

Bhattachar­ya said MLB employees are younger than the overall population and took protective measures such as frequent hand washing when they reported to spring training in February, earlier than most people.

No MLB employees have been known to have died from COVID-19.

While the percentage of Los Angeles Angels employees with positive tests was the highest among teams, the error margin is too high to draw results because just 123 tests were included from the team.

Bhattachar­ya called the results “both good and bad news” because they showed the virus has not spread widely in MLB but still has many baseballer­s left to target. Eichner said results could mean MLB employees had been diligent in use of personal protective equipment, such as masks.

Sixty people tested positive in the raw data, and the figured was adjusted to about 42 to account for false positives and false negatives.

Over 95% of the participan­ts were under 65 and few reported comorbidit­ies, according to Stanford medical student Bianca Mulaney, who authored the study.

Mulaney said the prevalence of positive tests for antibodies was higher in areas that have been harder hit by the virus, such as New York, and lower in less-impacted areas, such as Ohio.

“This is a special population. It’s not representa­tive of the American population at large,” Bhattachar­ya said. “But it’s an important population because it allows us to get a peek at the nationwide prevalence.”

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