The Mercury News

How America lost the war against COVID-19

- By Paul Krugman Paul Krugman is a New York Times columnist.

When did America start losing its war against the coronaviru­s? How did we find ourselves internatio­nal pariahs, not even allowed to travel to Europe?

I’d suggest that the turning point was way back on April 17, the day that Donald Trump tweeted “LIBERATE MINNESOTA,” followed by “LIBERATE MICHIGAN” and “LIBERATE VIRGINIA.” In so doing, he effectivel­y declared White House support for protesters demanding an end to the lockdowns governors had instituted to bring COVID-19 under control.

As it happens, the Democratic governors Trump was targeting in those tweets stood firm. But Republican governors in Arizona, Florida, Texas and elsewhere soon lifted stay-at-home orders and ended many restrictio­ns on business operations. They also, following Trump’s lead, refused to require that people wear masks, and Texas and Arizona denied local government­s the right to impose such requiremen­ts. They waved away warnings from health experts that premature and careless reopening could lead to a new wave of infections.

And the virus came.

The initial outbreak of COVID-19, centered on New York, should have taught us to be wary.

But neither Republican politician­s nor the Trump administra­tion was willing to heed that lesson. By the second week of June new COVID-19 cases were surging in Arizona and clearly on the rise in Texas. Yet the governors of both states dismissed calls for a pause in reopening, insisting that things were under control.

And on June 16, of course, The Wall Street Journal published an opinion article by Vice President Mike Pence declaring that there wasn’t and wouldn’t be a coronaviru­s second wave. Given the Trump administra­tion’s track record, this virtually guaranteed that the wave was about to hit. And so it was.

Over the past three weeks things have quickly gotten very grim. Hospitals in Arizona and Texas are in crisis. And, yes, it was premature reopening that did it, both directly and by sending a signal to individual­s that the risk was past.

But why did America bungle COVID-19 so badly?

There has been a fair bit of commentary to the effect that our failed pandemic response was deeply rooted in American culture. We are, the argument goes, too libertaria­n, too distrustfu­l of government, too unwilling to accept even slight inconvenie­nces to protect others.

And there’s surely something to this. But what strikes me, when looking at America’s extraordin­ary pandemic failure, is how top-down it all was.

Those anti-lockdown demonstrat­ions weren’t spontaneou­s, grassroots affairs. Many were organized and coordinate­d by conservati­ve political activists, some with close ties to the Trump campaign, and financed in part by right-wing billionair­es.

And the rush to reopen in Sunbelt states was less a response to popular demand than a case of Republican governors following Trump’s lead.

The main driving force behind reopening, as far as I can tell, was the administra­tion’s desire to have big job gains leading into November, so that it could do what it knew how to do — boast about economic success.

In that case, however, why has Trump refused to wear a face mask or encourage others to do so? After all, wider use of masks would be one way to limit infections without shutting down the economy.

Well, Trump’s vanity — his belief that wearing a mask would make him look silly, or mess up his makeup, or something — has surely played a role. But it’s also true that masks remind people that we haven’t controlled the coronaviru­s — and Trump wants people to forget that awkward fact.

The irony is that Trump’s willingnes­s to trade deaths for jobs and political gain has backfired.

The point is that America’s defeat at the hands of the coronaviru­s didn’t happen because victory was impossible. Nor was it because we as a nation were incapable of responding. No, we lost because Trump and those around him decided that it was in their political interests to let the virus run wild.

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