The Mercury News

2020 election poised to hit record-shattering $14B

- By Fredreka Schouten

The cost of this year’s federal elections will hit close to $14 billion, shattering records and doubling the amount of money spent to influence presidenti­al and congressio­nal contests four years ago, according to an estimate released Wednesday.

The Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisa­n organizati­on that tracks money in politics, previously estimated that 2020 federal election spending would hit nearly $11 billion. But a surge of last-minute money — driven by the battle over the nomination of Justice Amy Coney Barrett to the U. S. Supreme Court and a fresh influx of funds into the presidenti­al campaign and hotly contested Senate races — pushed spending to highs not seen before in American politics, the group’s researcher­s say.

Among the trends: Small- dollar donations are soaring. Billionair­es have opened their wallets. And donors are crossing state lines with their giving, driving big money into marquee races, such as the battle in South Carolina between Republican three-term Sen. Lindsey Graham and his Democratic challenger, Jaime Harrison.

And the 2020 election also has seen a dramatic reversal in the financial fortunes of the two men vying for the White House.

Democrat Joe Biden, who initially struggled to raise money amid a crowded field of vying for his party’s nomination, now is poised to become the first presidenti­al candidate to raise $1 billion from donors, excluding donations that landed in the Democratic Party’s coffers that also benefited Biden’s campaign.

Donations to the Biden campaign alone through mid- October — the most recent public filings — already have topped $930 million. By comparison, President Donald Trump, who began running for reelection almost as soon as he took the oath of office, has raised more than half a billion dollars during the two-year cycle — not counting funds directed to the Republican National Committee or those raised before 2019.

“Ten years ago, a billion- dollar presidenti­al candidate would have been difficult to imagine. This cycle, we’re likely to see two,” the center’s executive director, Sheila Krumholz, said in a statement. The other billion-dollar candidate: Former New York

City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who made a short-lived bid for the Democratic presidenti­al nomination, and plowed nearly $1.1 billion of his financial informatio­n fortune into the contest before dropping out and committing to spend heavily to aid Biden.

The estimated $14 billion price tag tops the nearly $12.8 billion spent during the 2012 and 2016 presidenti­al election cycles combined, the center said. And spending in the 2020 presidenti­al race alone is expected to hit $6.6 billion, adding in all the activity by candidates, political parties and outside groups.

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