The Mercury News

Experts: Arizona vote review ‘made up the numbers’

- By Michael Wines and Nick Corasaniti

The circuslike review of the 2020 vote commission­ed by Arizona Republican­s took another wild turn Friday when veteran election experts charged that the very foundation of its findings — the results of a hand count of 2.1 million ballots — was based on numbers so unreliable that they appear to be guesswork rather than tabulation­s.

The organizers of the review “made up the numbers,” the headline of the experts’ report said.

The experts, a data analyst for the Arizona Republican Party and two retired executives of a Bostonbase­d election consulting firm, said in their report that workers for the investigat­ors failed to count thousands of ballots in a pallet of 40 ballot-filled boxes delivered to them in the spring.

The final report by the Republican investigat­ors concluded that President Joe Biden actually won 99 more votes than were reported and former President Donald Trump tallied 261 fewer votes.

But given the large undercount found in just a sliver of the 2.1 million ballots, it would effectivel­y be impossible for the Republican investigat­ors to arrive at such precise numbers, the experts said.

Investigat­ors went through more than 1,600 ballot-filled boxes this summer to conduct their hand recount of the election in Maricopa County, the most populous county in the state. Both they and the Republican-controlled state Senate, which ordered the election inquiry, have refused to disclose the details of that hand count.

But a worksheet containing the results of the hand count of 40 of those boxes was included in a final report on the election inquiry released a week ago by Cyber Ninjas, the Florida company hired to conduct the inquiry.

The three election experts said that the hand count could have missed thousands or even hundreds of thousands of ballots if all 1,600 boxes of ballots were similarly undercount­ed. Their findings were first reported in The Arizona Republic.

For months, the Cyber Ninjas effort had been the lodestar of the conservati­ve movement, the foundation­al investigat­ion that would uncover a litany of abuses and verify countless conspiraci­es, proving a stolen election. But the review was criticized from the start for unprofessi­onal and unorthodox methods and partisan influence.

Now, the experts’ findings on the overall vote compound withering analyses debunking a wide range of questions raised in the review about the counting of votes and conduct of the election. Nonetheles­s, the review has been embraced by Trump and his followers even as its findings have been overwhelmi­ngly refuted.

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