The Mercury News

Clinton turned California blue and changed American politics

- By Mark Z. Barabak Mark Z. Barabak is a Los Angeles Times columnist.

Bill Clinton was busy filling Cabinet positions and shaping his economic agenda when a memo landed from a team of political advisors. Although Clinton was still more than a month away from becoming president, the topic was his reelection nearly four years off.

The document outlined a strategy vital to Clinton's hopes for a second term: Lock down California and its generous share of electoral votes so his campaign could “concentrat­e its energy on other, more tightly contested, states.”

In 1992, Arkansas' governor became the first Democratic presidenti­al candidate in nearly three decades to carry California, the political birthplace of Richard M. Nixon and Ronald Reagan. Few, if any, considered Clinton's victory in California the start of a political realignmen­t; he won just 46% of the vote.

For much of its history, the West was Republican ground. Today, it's a bastion of Democratic support.

But his victory and a repeat in 1996 helped color California a lasting shade of blue.

That political base has freed Democrats to compete in the battlegrou­nds of the Midwest and reach for states like Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia that were once well beyond the party's grasp.

In California, there were several factors that led to the change.

Among them, the polarizing politics of the state's Republican governor, Pete Wilson, which helped activate the state's rapidly growing Latino population and turn those voters against the GOP. The rightward drift of national Republican­s, especially on issues like guns and abortion. An economy that scraped bottom under President George H.W. Bush.

But the transforma­tion was also the result of a purposeful White House effort to remake California and turn the historical­ly Republican-leaning state into a blue bulwark for decades to come.

California Democrats were used to being ignored by party leaders, except when it came time to extract deposits from the state's rich vein of campaign cash.

Clinton loved the state: the sun, the lifestyle, the possibilit­y.

By the time Clinton ran for president in 1992, he'd built an extensive network of California connection­s — in politics, business, Hollywood.

Still, Clinton needed help carrying the state in 1992. He benefited from the presence of Ross Perot, the feisty third-party candidate who spent most of his time attacking Bush. He got a lift from the buzz surroundin­g two groundbrea­king Democratic women, Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer, running for separate U.S. Senate seats.

Above all, Clinton capitalize­d on the sour mood of California­ns amid the worst economic downturn since World War II, which followed the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of a decades-long arms race that fueled the state's robust defense and aerospace industries.

His victory and an end to Democrats' political drought was, however, only a start.

“It will continue to be important to communicat­e your connection with this state and your concern for its problems,” a team of California strategist­s wrote in their confidenti­al strategy memo as Clinton prepared to enter the White House. “California­ns are looking to you to improve conditions,” especially the economy.

Failing that, they warned, “the volatile California electorate is likely to swing back to the Republican­s.”

It led to the formula Clinton followed throughout his presidency: Lavish time, money and attention on California. Then make sure everybody knew it.

“We didn't just step up on disaster relief,” said John Emerson, who ran Clinton's 1992 campaign in the state and helped stock his administra­tion as deputy personnel director. “There was a concerted effort to be present and visible every step of the way.”

Hundreds of California­ns served under Clinton. Among them Secretary of State Warren Christophe­r; budget director and later White House chief of staff Leon Panetta; press secretary Dee Dee Myers and chief economic advisor Laura D'Andrea Tyson.

Other states could only envy California, as the federal spigots opened up.

In all, Clinton visited California 56 times from 1993, the year he assumed the presidency, through 2001, the year he left the White House, according to a tally kept by his presidenti­al library.

The effort paid off handsomely.

Clinton easily carried California on his way to winning his second term in an electoral college landslide. By the time he left the White House, the state had become a Democratic fortress.

In 2000, Clinton's vice president, Al Gore, carried California by 12 percentage points. Since then, no Democratic presidenti­al candidate has won by less than double digits.

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