Win­ter

The Morning Call - - LOCAL NEWS -

No me­te­o­rol­o­gist ever wants to talk about snow in Au­gust, and Vallee is no ex­cep­tion. But there is one thing he wanted to stress, and it’s short-term fore­cast vari­ables once we hit Oc­to­ber and Novem­ber, be­fore the win­ter sea­son even starts.

“It’s still re­ally early [to talk about snow] but the big thing I want to em­pha­size is there can be a num­ber of is­sues go­ing from fall into win­ter,” he said. “That’s when you look at the high lat­i­tude block­ing and other things that can change the short­term pat­tern very quickly. You saw that last Nov. 15 when we had the cool shot come in and we had that freak snow­storm.”

Fore­cast­ers also gen­er­ally aren’t keen to look into a crys­tal ball and try and fig­ure out if win­ter will ar­rive on time. The win­ter sol­stice is Dec. 21. Last year on that date it was 64 de­grees in Al­len­town.

“That’s the prob­lem with is­su­ing any kind of de­fin­i­tive state­ment this far out,” Vallee said, chuck­ling. “Gen­er­ally I think the be­gin­ning of win­ter in the Le­high Val­ley will be a warmer start but we need to men­tion the abil­ity for things to line up de­spite a warmer-thannor­mal pat­tern. The ‘fall im­pact’ on win­ter, in­clud­ing above-av­er­age temps that may last into Novem­ber, is not as high as some may make it out be.”

Morn­ing Call re­porter Stephanie Si­gafoos can be reached at 610-820-6612 or ssi­[email protected]

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