The Morning Journal (Lorain, OH)

Yellen says economy likely ready for rate hike later in 2016

- By Martin Crutsinger

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Wednesday that the central bank has no “fixed timetable” for raising interest rates but she believes the economy is ready for a rate hike by the end of the year.

She said during an appearance before the House Financial Services Committee that when the Fed met last week, a majority of her colleagues believed it would be appropriat­e to raise rates before the end of this year.

The Fed boosted its key policy rate in December 2015 to a range of 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent. But since then, officials have left the rate unchanged. Yellen told the lawmakers that she believed it would make sense to boost the rate again “if things continue on the current path and no significan­t new risks arise.”

The Fed last week voted 7-3 to keep its key interest rate where it has been all year. But it did send a strong signal that it is prepared to raise rates before the end of the year, with many expecting a move in December.

Yellen said that while inflation is not a threat at the moment, it is possible that the economy could begin to overheat with prices rising too quickly, forcing the Fed to accelerate the pace of rate hikes and raising the threat of a recession.

“If we allow the economy to overheat, we could be faced with having to raise interest rates more rapidly than we would want which could conceivabl­y jeopardize that good state of affairs that we have come close to achieving,” Yellen told lawmakers.

Some Republican­s on the panel echoed a charge that Republican presidenti­al nominee Donald Trump made during Monday’s debate that the Fed had become too political and was delaying rate hikes in an effort to help Democrats win the election.

“We are in a big, fat ugly bubble,” Trump said during the debate. “We have a Fed that’s doing political things. This Janet Yellen of the Fed.”

Rep. Scott Garrett, RN.J., pressed Yellen to say whether she believed Fed board member Lael Brainard should recuse herself from voting on interest rate decisions given that she has donated to Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

Yellen said that federal law allows Fed governors to make political donations. Garrett also said he viewed Yellen’s meetings with Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew and other Treasury Department officials as evidence she was too close to the Obama administra­tion.

All Fed leaders, whether Democrats or Republican­s, have followed the practice of holding weekly sessions with the Treasury secretary to review U.S. and global economic developmen­ts.

“I certainly have never been pressured in any way by the administra­tion,” Yellen told the committee. “The (Obama) administra­tion, my experience has been, greatly respects the Fed’s independen­ce to make decisions in accordance with the Fed’s mandate.”

Yellen, who was testifying Wednesday on the Fed’s role in regulating the nation’s banking system, received a number of questions from lawmakers about the situation at Wells Fargo and whether federal banking regulators fell down on the job by not detecting practices at the nation’s second largest bank that allegedly had Wells Fargo employees opening millions of accounts without customers’ permission.

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