The News-Times (Sunday)

Mortgage rates rise to a seven-year high

- By Andrew Khouri 2018 Los Angeles Times Distribute­d by Tribune Content Agency

The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is nearing 5 percent, following a surge this week that put borrowing costs at their highest level since 2011, according to Freddie Mac.

The sharp increase in mortgage rates — to 4.9 percent this week, from 4.71 percent last week and 3.91 percent a year ago — stems from the same rise in the overall cost of borrowing that on Wednesday and Thursday sent stocks tumbling. The additional expense threatens to cause more would-be home buyers to hold off on a purchase.

The rise in mortgage rates from last year adds $251 a month to what previously would’ve been a $2,685 monthly mortgage payment on a $535,000 house.

Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said rising rates and home prices are putting “downward pressure on purchase demand.”

The housing market was already softening. Nationwide, sales of previously owned homes have posted year-over-year declines for six straight months. In Southern California, sales last summer were the lowest in four years and the number of homes offered for sale is creeping up. Home price growth, though still strong, is also easing.

Real estate agents say higher rates are one reason would-be buyers seem increasing­ly willing to submit low-ball offers or call it quits altogether.

At the beginning of this year, rates surged over inflation fears before flattening out around 4.5 percent. Now rates are shooting up again, in part over expectatio­ns the Federal Reserve will keep lifting its key short-term interest rate as the U.S. economy grows stronger.

Fadel Lawandy, director of the Hoag Center for Real Estate and Finance at Chapman University, said higher borrowing costs will likely mean even fewer home sales and slower price growth. But higher rates shouldn’t derail the housing market.

He noted the economy is healthy and rates are still low historical­ly. Through much of last decade, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage hovered in the 6 percent range. In the 1990s, rates peaked at 10 percent - and a decade earlier, 18 percent.

“It’s still much cheaper to borrow money than 10, 15 years ago,” he said.

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