‘Blue wave’ could propel Conn. delegation into powerful jobs

WASHINGTON — If they win re-election, Connecticut’s delegation to the U.S. House would enjoy a power surge should Democrats take control of that chamber in November’s election.

A blue wave that wrests control of the U.S. House from the GOP would steer the Democratic lawmakers — who are favored to win another term — out of the political wilderness they’ve inhabited since 2011, when their party lost control of the chamber.

Specifically, it could lift members of Connecticut’s delegation into leadership positions on subcommittees of key House panels, including the Appropriations Committee, the Ways and Means Committee and the Armed Services Committee.

Rep. Jim Himes, D-4th District, would be in line to head the House Intelligence Committee, which is expected to open several investigations into the Trump administration if Democrats win control of the House.

While Connecticut’s Democratic lawmakers would have a higher political profile and a new ability to hold hearings and schedule votes on key issues if the U.S. House flips, November’s elections could result in a divided government, with the GOP likely to continue to control the U.S. Senate and a Republican president still in the White House.

That means there would be limitations on the Connecticut delegation’s new political clout, and a likely increase of the gridlock that has long defined politics in the nation’s Capitol.

“House Democrats will decide which bills get a hearing and a vote, but they will control just one chamber in an institution that’s just one branch of a system of checks and balances,” said Robbin Smith, head of the political science department at Central Connecticut State University.

While congressional races have been tightening as the Nov. 6 election gets closer, analysts still believe the U.S. House may trade hands.

Here’s why:

The party that controls the White House, in this case the GOP, has historically lost an average of 32 seats in the first midterm election. To win control of the House, Democrats will need to win only 23 new seats.

There also has been a wave of Republican retirements, raising the number of competitive open seats. Many of the GOP retirees, like Rep. Darrell Issa of California, decided to bow out rather than face a tough race this year.

President Donald Trump’s popularity has risen lately, but his most favorable poll puts the president’s approval rating at 47 percent. Since World War II, the president’s party has never gained seats when the president’s job approval rating is below 50 percent

Nationally, there has been a boost in Democratic voter registration, which runs counter to the pattern seen in most midterm elections. In addition, turnout in this year’s primaries for the U.S. House of Representatives surged compared with the last midterms in 2014, particularly among Democrats, according to a recent Pew Research Center analysis of state election returns.

Seniority matters

Rep. John Larson, D-1st District, would likely take over the subcommittee in charge of Social Security policy if he serves in a Democratic-controlled House. That would allow him to advance a pet project — a bill to reform the retirement program.

“If we are fortunate enough to take back the House in two weeks, and I pick up the gavel as the chairman for the Ways and Means Social Security Subcommittee … the focus will be clear,” Larson said.

“For too long, we have allowed the Republicans to control the message on programs like Social Security and Medicare — calling them ‘entitlements’ when any working American knows they have earned their benefits with their every paycheck.”

U.S. Rep. John Larson delivers an impassioned plea last year for lawmakers to pass a national infrastructure package.

Larson also said a Democratic takeover of the Ways and Means Committee would lead to a revisiting of the GOP federal tax overhaul “which double taxes middle class families in donor states like Connecticut through an arbitrary limit on the state and local tax deduction, to pay for things like a giant tax break for billionaire estates.”

He also said he would propose a “pollution tax” to pay for new infrastructure, including his I-84/I-91 tunnel proposal in Hartford.

“We need to think big again, and that’s what I know we will do should we be in the majority next year,” Larson said.

Rep. Rosa DeLauro, D-2nd District, would become a “cardinal,” or chairman of a House Appropriations subcommittee. That subcommittee would help determine the budgets of the Labor Department, the Department of Health and Human Services and the Education Department, allowing DeLauro to influence health and socialservice programs run by those agencies and bolster her efforts to prevent pay discrimination.

“If Democrats win the majority, the biggest impact we will have is by finally being able to implement an agenda for working people and the middle class to get ahead,” DeLauro said. “The biggest economic challenge of our time is that people are in jobs that do not pay them enough to live on. Workers are struggling with the rising costs of health care, child care, and housing. Meanwhile, wages have been flat for decades.”

DeLauro also said, “If I were to become chair of the Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education Subcommittee, I would also focus on securing critical investments in programs that help people,” including “groundbreaking medical research and child care grants to job training and education programs.”

“It would be the honor of a lifetime to directly oversee this subcommittee and fight to increase funding for these national priorities,” DeLauro said.

DeLauro, who has represented a New Haven-based district since 1991, and Larson, who has represented the Hartford area since 1999, will be among the most senior Democrats in the U.S. House next year if they win re-election. Influence grows with seniority in that chamber.

DeLauro said she would like to continue in her leadership role in the new Congress.