The Norwalk Hour

Connecticu­t no longer the richest state by one key measure

- DAN HAAR

struggles and fat times, Connecticu­t’s unquestion­ed status as the nation’s richest state was part of our economic self-image for more than a generation.

Until now.

We knew the title meant little when it came to shared prosperity. It was driven by high-paid executives, Wall Street traders and the Gold Coast denizens of dividends. But it was our claim to fame alongside our rightful moniker as the arsenal of democracy, or Hartford’s title as the insurance capital, or DanThrough bury’s old identity as the Hat City.

Specifical­ly, the measure where we reigned as No. 1 in the United States was per-capita income — total income divided by population. It mattered because it signaled Connecticu­t’s high productivi­ty and a lot of that wealth does indeed trickle down, though never enough.

Connecticu­t was always in the top few states, sometimes No. 1, going back to the 1920s when federal records began. Then in 1987 we passed Alaska and we never looked back.

And we didn’t just hold the top spot; we crushed it. For most of those years Connecticu­t’s lead looked untouchabl­e, like Wilt Chamberlai­n’s 100 points in a basketball game or Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak.

But the “lost decade” of 2010 to 2019 did in Connecticu­t’s claim. Data released this fall by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, or BEA — the referee for growth and income — show that Massachuse­tts inched ahead of Connecticu­t in percapita income for the full year, 2021.

It was just a tiny edge, $83,653 to $83,294, a difference of less than onehalf of 1 percent after a years-long surge by Massachuse­tts, driven by biotech. Both states are far ahead of the nation’s $64,143 in 2021.

In 2008, the first year of the Great Recession, Massachuse­tts was No. 2 with a per-capita income of $51,810, compared with the $41,026 national average.

Connecticu­t? We stood like a skyscraper at $60,970 — a lead of more than $9,000 per person over the second richest

state. By 2020, the weird pandemic year, Connecticu­t led our neighbor to the north by a mere $75 Uber ride.

‘CT couldn’t be bothered’

There’s good news with the bad. On Sept. 30, the same day the BEA revealed new and revised totals for 2017 through 2021, the agency, part of the Commerce Department, also gave per-capita income figures through the second quarter of 2022.

Connecticu­t is back in the lead in 2022; if all goes well we’ll reclaim the No. 1 spot for the full year. Since the pandemic, we are ahead of the nation in income gains.

Still, the reality of 2021, and the fact that Connecticu­t’s enormous margin that lasted for decades has whittled away, comes with lessons.

“Big surprise,” UConn economist Fred V. Carstensen said sarcastica­lly of the end of the state’s reign. As head of the Connecticu­t Center for Economic Analysis, he has long been a critic of this state’s efforts to forge new growth.

“Massachuse­tts in the ‘90s faced an enormous crisis, so what did they do? Two billion dollars for bioscience,” Carstensen said. “What’s the big story about Boston? It’s bioscience.”

He named other Bay State initiative­s including building a large data center in Holyoke. “They did a variety of things that were ultimately transforma­tional. Connecticu­t couldn’t be bothered.”

“Now we’re doing a few things,” Carstensen said, praising Gov. Ned Lamont’s jobtrainin­g efforts and corporate incentives that any company can earn, not just a chosen few.

Lamont, for his part, sees no winners and losers in this.

“It’s not a sports contest,” he told my colleague Ken Dixon Thursday at the Capitol. “We’ve got some of the highest percapita income in the country and I like the fact that Boston and New York do as well. It speaks well to the region. It speaks well to the high-quality work that we’re doing here. I don’t feel competitiv­e about that at all.”

The governor, famously, is doing his share to keep Connecticu­t on top. An heir to a Wall Street fortune and former telecom entreprene­ur, Lamont reported a $52 million income in 2021 and spent $22 million on his re-election campaign — a pretty good piece of wealth redistribu­tion as these things go.

What personal income measures?

By any measure, the value of total income has climbed sharply over the decades, far faster than inflation. In 1942, Connecticu­t shot up to No. 1 with a surge of nearly $300 to $1,440 per person as the factories making airplane engines, guns and ammunition shot into overdrive. That $1,440 was worth just $26,327 in today’s dollars — though with larger households it was more than enough to build middle-class comfort.

The personal income number as the Bureau of Economic Analysis measures it includes regular salaries, wages and bonuses, of course, along with dividends and interest on investment­s. And it includes rent collected by owners of property, and the value of all employment benefits, such as retirement fund contributi­ons and the subsidies companies typically pay for health insurance.

It also includes all government payments, not just cash supports for low-income families but Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security — along with unemployme­nt, workers compensati­on, child care credits and those pandemic relief checks. Remember those?

Connecticu­t topped $300 billion in 2021, all in. The state lagged the nation in all categories of personal income in the lost decade.

Personal income does not, however, include capital gains, those profits investors make on the sale of corporate stock that grows in value over the years. That’s a giant source of wealth in Connecticu­t, so it’s possible that if BEA measured income the way the IRS does it, we’d have that wide lead back. The idea at BEA is to measure economic activity in a given quarter or year, and capital gains can represent many years of activity.

“That’s the measure that

BEA stands behind,” said Matthew von Kerczek, who explained the subtleties patiently.

It’s also not the same as median household income, a measure of broad prosperity by the U.S. Census based on surveys — where Connecticu­t is usually in the top 5 but not No. 1.

We will continue to debate the best ways to grow the state’s economy.

“Personal income growth is definitely a measure of something that matters,” said Chris DiPentima, president and CEO of the Connecticu­t Business and Industry Associatio­n, the state’s largest business group.

DiPentima gives mixed reviews to the state’s economy and to its economic developmen­t programs. We need to offer more incentives for building housing and find ways to attract more immigrants, he said.

The wavering status as the nation’s richest state? “It should raise concerns. We shouldn’t have a knee-jerk reaction to it,” he said, “But we need to do things to address it.”

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