WEEK 16 PICKS SEATTLE AT TENNESSEE

Last week: 11-5 overall, 8-7-1 vs. spread

INDIANAPOLIS AT ATLANTA

1 P.M. • Line: Falcons by 11⁄2 • Pick: Falcons, 26-24

The Colts (8-6) have won five of six to position themselves for a wild-card spot. They’ve scored at least 27 points in six of their past eight games. Two straight losses have knocked the Falcons (6-8) out of first place in the NFC South and now they’re benching QB Desmond Ridder and going back to Taylor Heinicke.

GREEN BAY AT CAROLINA 1 P.M. • Line: Packers by 41⁄2 • Pick: Packers, 24-16

The Packers (6-8) are reeling after two straight losses. They must win to climb back into the wild-card race. The Panthers (2-12) aim to ruin another team’s playoff hopes after beating Atlanta.

CLEVELAND AT HOUSTON

1 P.M. • Line: Browns by 21⁄2 • Pick: Browns, 23-21

Joe Flacco has helped the injury-depleted Browns (9-5) stay in contention for a division title while leading the AFC wild-card race. Cleveland has allowed more points on the road than any team this season and fewest at home. The Texans (8-6) are in a three-way tie for first place and again may have to rely on backup QB Case Keenum because C.J. Stroud was still in concussion protocol on Wednesday.

DETROIT AT MINNESOTA 1 P.M. • Line: Lions by 3 • Pick: Lions, 30-16

The Lions (10-4) will clinch the NFC North with a win. They’re averaging 33 points per game indoors this season. QB Nick Mullens makes his second start for the Vikings (7-7) as they compete for a wild-card spot.

WASHINGTON AT NEW YORK JETS 1 P.M. • Line: Jets by 3 • Pick: Commanders, 17-13

This is the worst matchup of the week. The Commanders (4-10) have lost five in a row. The Jets (5-9) have lost six of seven and will have to wait until next season for Aaron Rodgers to return.

1 P.M. • Line: Seahawks by 21⁄2 • Pick: Titans, 23-20

Drew Lock led the Seahawks (7-7) on an improbable game-winning drive against Philadelphia on Monday night and back into the wild-card race. The Titans (5-9) are much improved with Will Levis at quarterback.

JACKSONVILLE AT TAMPA BAY

4:05 P.M. • Line: Buccaneers by 11⁄2 • Pick: UPSET SPECIAL: Jaguars, 24-23

Baker Mayfield had a perfect passer rating at Lambeau Field and the Buccaneers (7-7) have won three in a row to move into first place in the NFC South. They have an even bigger game next week against New Orleans. The Jaguars (8-6) have lost three in a row to lose their grip on first place in the AFC South. Trevor Lawrence is in concussion protocol. The Jaguars, who are 9-1 against the spread in their past 10 road games, need Lawrence to snap a losing streak.

ARIZONA AT CHICAGO 4:25 P.M. • Line: Bears by 41⁄2 • Pick: Bears, 22-19

The Bears (5-9) have won three of five with two one-score losses. They’ve been more competitive since Justin Fields returned on Nov. 19. The Cardinals (3-11) still have an outside shot at the No. 1 overall pick.

DALLAS AT MIAMI 4:25 P.M. • Line: Dolphins by 11⁄2 • Pick: Cowboys, 30-27

Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins (10-4) are still seeking their first win against a team with a winning record. The Cowboys (10-4) are coming off a lopsided loss at Buffalo, but still have a shot at winning the NFC East. Dallas is 12-1 against the spread after a loss since 2021.

NEW ENGLAND AT DENVER 8:15 P.M. • Line: Broncos by 61⁄2 • Pick: Broncos, 20-12

The Patriots (3-11) can’t even cover the spread, going 3-14-1 against the line over their past 18 games. Russell Wilson and the Broncos (7-7) can’t afford a slip-up as they compete for a wild-card berth.

LAS VEGAS AT KANSAS CITY

MONDAY, 1 P.M. • Line: Chiefs by 10 • Pick: Chiefs, 27-16

The Chiefs (9-5) have averaged 35.5 points against the Raiders (6-8) in 11 games with Patrick Mahomes. After putting 63 points up against the Chargers, Las Vegas faces a much tougher defense.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA

MONDAY, 4:30 P.M. • Line: Eagles by 111⁄2 • Pick: Eagles, 34-17

The Eagles (10-4) have lost three straight games, they’re pointing fingers and their fan base is in panic mode. Here comes Tommy DeVito and the Giants (5-9) to provide relief.

BALTIMORE AT SAN FRANCISCO

MONDAY, 8:15 P.M. • Line: 49ers by 51⁄2 • Pick: 49ers, 26-23

The NFL’s two current No. 1 seeds facing off in a prime-time matchup on Christmas night was the best present schedule-makers could’ve given fans. A potential Super Bowl preview featuring the San Francisco 49ers (11-3) and Baltimore Ravens (11-3) caps Week 16 and will have a major impact on playoff positioning.